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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +2 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 652d |  Dropper | Palisades wildfire containment >0% by Sunday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,154 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 652d |  aenews2 | Palisades wildfire containment >0% by Sunday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,639 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 652d |  pirateshere3 fills | Palisades wildfire containment >0% by Sunday? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,881 | +$151 +3.9% | 5 |
| 652d |  trumpetplayer | Palisades wildfire containment >0% by Sunday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,894 | +$6 +0.3% | 4 |
| 652d |  Axios | Palisades wildfire containment >0% by Sunday? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,665 | +$118 +3.2% | 5 |
| 652d |  DancingonMarshmellos | Palisades wildfire containment >0% by Sunday? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,309 | +$70 +5.3% | 5 |
| 654d | bko | Palisades wildfire containment >0% by Sunday? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,165 | +$61 +5.3% | 4 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California more than 0% contained by January 12, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/ and https://www.fire.ca.gov/incidents/2025/1/7/palisades-fire/updates.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.