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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +63 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 785d |  hot-097 | Pavel Durov released in August? | SellYes>99¢ | $4,953 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 785d | Hunter-Biden4 fills | Pavel Durov released in August? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $179,611 | +$908 +0.5% | 20 |
| 785d |  456ythgbvcadscvb | Pavel Durov released in August? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 786d |  Slimedart2 fills | Pavel Durov released in August? | SellYes44¢ → 100¢ | $4,017 | −$5,194 −129% | — |
| 786d | sdffcgfsdgh | Pavel Durov released in August? | SellYes100¢ | $1,990 | −$10 −0.5% | — |
| 786d |  Nostroah | Pavel Durov released in August? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,021 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 786d |  AgricultureSecretary | Pavel Durov released in August? | SellYes>99¢ | $4,500 | −$9 −0.2% | — |
| 786d |  WordleAddict | Pavel Durov released in August? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,660 | −$8 −0.3% | — |
| 786d | Scented-Proof | Pavel Durov released in August? | SellYes>99¢ | $3,709 | −$11 −0.3% | — |
| 786d |  DonaldinhoTrumpito | Pavel Durov released in August? | SellYes>99¢ | $11,174 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 786d |  50Whence9 fills | Pavel Durov released in August? | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $25,501 | +$2,420 +9.5% | 21 |
| 786d | ElihuDFraudsteal | Pavel Durov released in August? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,609 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 786d |  MLBksRETARD3 fills | Pavel Durov released in August? | BuyYes>99¢ | $67,039 | +$77 +0.1% | 20 |
| 786d | AcidBurn95 | Pavel Durov released in August? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,549 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 786d | PolyBlaster | Pavel Durov released in August? | SellYes100¢ | $1,082 | −$5 −0.5% | — |
| 786d | big6big8 | Pavel Durov released in August? | SellYes100¢ | $1,996 | −$10 −0.5% | — |
| 786d |  Anonim123 | Pavel Durov released in August? | SellYes100¢ | $1,301 | −$7 −0.5% | — |
| 786d | AgricultureSecretary2 fills | Pavel Durov released in August? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,487 | +$21 +0.5% | 20 |
| 786d | winnerwinnerchickndinner | Pavel Durov released in August? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,978 | −$42 −0.8% | — |
| 786d | NNTmeetsVB | Pavel Durov released in August? | BuyYes100¢ | $1,892 | +$10 +0.5% | 20 |
| 786d | prbot | Pavel Durov released in August? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,678 | −$17 −1.0% | — |
| 786d | Periodic-PromotionNew account | Pavel Durov released in August? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $59,089 | −$519 −0.9% | — |
| 786d |  nnimrodd | Pavel Durov released in August? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,414 | −$9 −0.6% | — |
| 786d |  Wloczega3 fills | Pavel Durov released in August? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,329 | −$43 −0.7% | — |
| 786d | baalenjoyer | Pavel Durov released in August? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,949 | −$20 −1.0% | — |
| 786d | larplarpsahur777 | Pavel Durov released in August? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,550 | −$16 −1.0% | — |
| 786d |  BidenVoter | Pavel Durov released in August? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,965 | −$20 −1.0% | — |
| 786d | Lfg1232 fills | Pavel Durov released in August? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,576 | +$41 +1.6% | 20 |
| 786d |  carp3 fills | Pavel Durov released in August? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $14,945 | +$289 +1.9% | 20 |
| 786d | whatisthisclownmarket2 fills | Pavel Durov released in August? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,768 | −$90 −2.4% | — |
| 786d | DonaldinhoTrumpito | Pavel Durov released in August? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $16,660 | +$340 +2.0% | 20 |
| 786d | poptree2 fills | Pavel Durov released in August? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $9,199 | +$285 +3.1% | 21 |
| 786d |  Frenemy | Pavel Durov released in August? | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,165 | −$90 −4.2% | — |
| 786d | Lizrael | Pavel Durov released in August? | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,111 | −$145 −6.8% | — |
| 786d | dopri | Pavel Durov released in August? | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $4,026 | −$240 −6.0% | — |
| 786d | 0xNserio | Pavel Durov released in August? | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $4,284 | −$265 −6.2% | — |
| 786d |  MisTKy3 | Pavel Durov released in August? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,387 | +$45 +3.2% | 21 |
| 786d | Hunter-Biden | Pavel Durov released in August? | SellNo6¢ → 0¢ | $1,595 | +$1,595 +100% | — |
| 786d | oPushinPchegou | Pavel Durov released in August? | BuyNo45¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 25 |
| 786d | secretemate | Pavel Durov released in August? | SellYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,456 | −$363 −25% | — |
| 786d |  Car | Pavel Durov released in August? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,209 | +$166 +7.5% | 21 |
| 786d |  Erasmus. | Pavel Durov released in August? | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $5,109 | +$446 +8.7% | 21 |
| 786d |  kendoll | Pavel Durov released in August? | BuyNo25¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 25 |
| 786d |  TVS | Pavel Durov released in August? | SellYes75¢ → 100¢ | $18,546 | −$6,149 −33% | — |
| 786d | 0x903d…1694 | Pavel Durov released in August? | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $7,091 | +$3,153 +44% | 25 |
| 786d | qasssd | Pavel Durov released in August? | SellNo72¢ → 0¢ | $1,580 | +$1,580 +100% | — |
| 786d | EuRoom2 fills | Pavel Durov released in August? | BuyNo76¢ → 0¢ | $4,073 | −$4,073 −100% | 22 |
| 786d |  debased | Pavel Durov released in August? | BuyNo51¢ → 0¢ | $1,024 | −$1,024 −100% | 25 |
| 786d | kingfisher3 fills | Pavel Durov released in August? | BuyYes58¢ → 100¢ | $6,232 | +$4,449 +71% | 25 |
| 786d | RandomGuy-391 | Pavel Durov released in August? | SellNo50¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | +$1,000 +100% | — |
| 786d | Pedro555 | Pavel Durov released in August? | SellNo50¢ → 0¢ | $2,015 | +$2,015 +100% | — |
| 786d | betboomer | Pavel Durov released in August? | SellYes59¢ → 100¢ | $2,635 | −$1,831 −69% | — |
| 786d | AXX | Pavel Durov released in August? | BuyYes55¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,652 +83% | 25 |
| 786d |  09432 fills | Pavel Durov released in August? | BuyNo53¢ → 0¢ | $2,261 | −$2,261 −100% | 25 |
| 786d |  Hun4o | Pavel Durov released in August? | BuyNo49¢ → 0¢ | $1,492 | −$1,492 −100% | 25 |
| 786d |  HaterzLoserz2 fills | Pavel Durov released in August? | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $4,527 | +$2,770 +61% | 25 |
| 786d | big6big82 fills | Pavel Durov released in August? | SellNo51¢ → 0¢ | $3,566 | +$3,566 +100% | — |
| 786d | big6big8 | Pavel Durov released in August? | BuyYes50¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,006 +101% | 25 |
| 786d |  doyoufeelit | Pavel Durov released in August? | SellYes46¢ → 100¢ | $1,526 | −$1,784 −117% | — |
| 786d | ZimaGetsFox | Pavel Durov released in August? | SellNo50¢ → 0¢ | $2,161 | +$2,161 +100% | — |
JosephisKING28,191 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Pavel Durov is released from custody by August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Durov is released from custody by the resolution date but remains in house arrest, the market will immediately resolve to "Yes". Transporting Durov to another location of custody will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from relevant governments, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.