Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $42 trillion | 4% | — | 0 pts | 2¢ · 5¢ (3¢) | — | in 69d |
| $41 trillion | 55% | — | +2 pts | 22¢ · 87¢ (65¢) | — | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 218d |  Slowroasted | Will the U.S. national debt hit $39 trillion before 2027? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,425 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 219d | Slowroasted | Will the U.S. national debt hit $39 trillion before 2027? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,984 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
outcomes135 shares
nicoco8984 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 4¢ for $42 trillion means the market gives it about 4%.