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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump by 1.5-2.0% | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Trump by 2.5%+ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Trump by 2.0-2.5% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Trump by 1.0-1.5% | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Trump by 0.5-1% | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Trump by 0-0.5% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 0-0.5% | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 0.5-1% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 1-1.5% | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 1.5-2% | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 2-2.5% | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 2.5%+ | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 688d |  donjo | Trump by 1.5-2.0% | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 688d |  HuhXD2 fills | Trump by 1.5-2.0% | SellYes>99¢ | $4,333 | −$7 −0.2% | — |
| 688d | HuhXD | Trump by 1.0-1.5% | SellNo>99¢ | $1,923 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 688d |  carp | Trump by 1.0-1.5% | BuyNo>99¢ | $25,708 | +$26 +0.1% | 4 |
| 688d |  aenews22 fills | Trump by 1.5-2.0% | BuyYes>99¢ | $82,669 | +$185 +0.2% | 4 |
| 688d | aenews2 | Trump by 2.5%+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,612 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 688d | aenews2 | Trump by 2.0-2.5% | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,014 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 688d | aenews2 | Trump by 1.0-1.5% | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,424 | +$9 +0.2% | 4 |
| 688d | Ordon | Trump by 1.5-2.0% | BuyYes>99¢ | $29,910 | +$90 +0.3% | 4 |
| 688d |  nasa22 | Trump by 1.5-2.0% | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,894 | +$27 +0.3% | 4 |
| 688d | HuhXD3 fills | Trump by 1.5-2.0% | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,324 | +$16 +0.4% | 4 |
| 688d | HuhXD | Trump by 1.0-1.5% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,917 | +$8 +0.4% | 4 |
| 688d | cigarettes2 fills | Trump by 2.5%+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,448 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 688d | cigarettes2 fills | Trump by 2.0-2.5% | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,448 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 688d | cigarettes6 fills | Trump by 1.0-1.5% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $13,496 | +$105 +0.8% | 4 |
| 688d |  Rasalgethi | Trump by 0.5-1% | SellNo>99¢ | $1,417 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 688d | Melody6264 fills | Trump by 2.0-2.5% | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $20,367 | −$206 −1.0% | — |
| 689d |  Flaner | Trump by 0.5-1% | BuyNo100¢ | $1,997 | +$10 +0.5% | 4 |
| 690d | aptxdgfsic | Trump by 0.5-1% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,786 | +$22 +0.8% | 4 |
| 690d | Rasalgethi | Trump by 0.5-1% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,878 | +$72 +0.8% | 4 |
| 690d | wokerjoesleeper4 fills | Trump by 0.5-1% | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,258 | +$24 +0.3% | 4 |
| 690d | wokerjoesleeper4 fills | Trump by 2.0-2.5% | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,267 | +$15 +0.2% | 4 |
| 691d | airpods | Trump by 1.5-2.0% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,267 | −$12 −0.9% | — |
| 691d | airpods | Trump by 1.5-2.0% | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,275 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 691d | ybj | Trump by 0-0.5% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,241 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 691d | inqcell | Trump by 0.5-1% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,046 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 691d |  pururu | Trump by 0.5-1% | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,825 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 691d | almost-never | Trump by 1.5-2.0% | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,461 | −$70 −2.0% | — |
| 693d |  pollylonelytomas | Trump by 2.0-2.5% | SellNo>99¢ | $1,247 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 693d | pollylonelytomas | Trump by 2.0-2.5% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,250 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 694d | chefd | Trump by 1.5-2.0% | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,021 | −$19 −1.9% | — |
| 697d |  one8tyfive | Trump by 1.5-2.0% | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,940 | −$60 −2.0% | — |
| 698d |  elmcap24 fills | Trump by 1.5-2.0% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $16,433 | +$230 +1.4% | 4 |
| 698d | Reader_of_Vunjan | Trump by 1.5-2.0% | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,755 | −$45 −2.6% | — |
| 700d |  Energeticone | Trump by 1.5-2.0% | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,103 | −$30 −2.7% | — |
| 701d | elmcap2 | Trump by 1.0-1.5% | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,842 | +$60 +2.1% | 4 |
| 701d | wokerjoesleeper4 fills | Trump by 1.0-1.5% | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,746 | +$103 +1.8% | 4 |
| 701d | wokerjoesleeper3 fills | Trump by 2.5%+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,832 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 702d | cigarettes | Trump by 0.5-1% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,003 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 703d | one8tyfive | Trump by 1.5-2.0% | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $7,026 | +$308 +4.4% | 4 |
| 704d | 0x2B495 | Trump by 1.5-2.0% | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $5,879 | +$309 +5.3% | 4 |
| 705d | Naropoly | Trump by 1.5-2.0% | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,541 | +$59 +3.8% | 4 |
| 705d | reflexive | Trump by 1.5-2.0% | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,165 | −$47 −4.1% | — |
| 706d | Flaner4 fills | Trump by 1.5-2.0% | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $13,812 | +$249 +1.8% | 4 |
| 707d | MAY17646 fills | Trump by 1.0-1.5% | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $329,680 | +$5,709 +1.7% | 4 |
| 707d | MAY17546 fills | Trump by 1.0-1.5% | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $329,688 | +$5,702 +1.7% | 4 |
| 707d | Monster24 | Trump by 1.0-1.5% | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,274 | +$21 +1.6% | 4 |
| 707d | InsiderrrZ | Trump by 1.5-2.0% | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,166 | −$34 −2.9% | — |
| 708d | jb21 | Trump by 1.5-2.0% | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,920 | −$119 −4.1% | — |
| 708d |  50Whence | Harris by 2.5%+ | SellNo>99¢ | $1,182 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 708d | 50Whence | Trump by 2.5%+ | SellNo100¢ | $1,100 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 709d |  Cajetan2 fills | Trump by 1.0-1.5% | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,385 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 709d | 0x7 | Trump by 1.5-2.0% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,889 | −$40 −1.4% | — |
| 709d | Monster24 | Trump by 1.5-2.0% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,172 | +$13 +1.1% | 4 |
| 709d | JSK030 | Trump by 1.5-2.0% | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,008 | +$77 +3.8% | 4 |
| 709d | sandcat | Trump by 1.5-2.0% | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $5,589 | +$246 +4.4% | 4 |
| 709d | smashedmelon | Trump by 1.5-2.0% | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,947 | −$115 −5.9% | — |
| 709d |  northcaper | Trump by 1.5-2.0% | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,721 | −$79 −4.6% | — |
| 710d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | Trump by 1.5-2.0% | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,163 | +$38 +3.3% | 4 |
| 710d |  Apsalar2 fills | Harris by 1.5-2% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $12,553 | +$66 +0.5% | 4 |
This is a market on predicting the vote margin for the Pennsylvania presidential election.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Trump by 1.5-2.0% means the market gives it about 100%.