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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Rai | 100% | +96 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Scottie Scheffler | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rory McIlroy | 0% | −12 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cameron Young | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jon Rahm | 0% | −14 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Xander Schauffele | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ludvig Aberg | 0% | −13 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bryson DeChambeau | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Matt Fitzpatrick | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tommy Fleetwood | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Justin Thomas | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Patrick Cantlay | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Brooks Koepka | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Min Woo Lee | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Collin Morikawa | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Justin Rose | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Adam Scott | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| J.J. Spaun | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sam Burns | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rickie Fowler | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Chris Gotterup | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tyrrell Hatton | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Russell Henley | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nicolai Hojgaard | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Viktor Hovland | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Si Woo Kim | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Robert MacIntyre | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Patrick Reed | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jordan Spieth | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sepp Straka | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kurt Kitayama | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jake Knapp | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shane Lowry | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hideki Matsuyama | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Maverick McNealy | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kristoffer Reitan | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gary Woodland | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Akshay Bhatia | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Keegan Bradley | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris English | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alex Fitzpatrick | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ben Griffin | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sungjae Im | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Joaquin Niemann | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alex Noren | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| David Puig | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alex Smalley | 0% | −17 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jacob Bridgeman | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Corey Conners | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jason Day | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harry Hall | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Matt McCarty | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Marco Penge | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Michael Thorbjornsen | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wyndham Clark | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pierceson Coody | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Brian Harman | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Haotong Li | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Taylor Pendrith | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| J.T. Poston | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Aldrich Potgieter | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cameron Smith | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jordan Smith | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sam Stevens | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nick Taylor | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sahith Theegala | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Matt Wallace | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Angel Ayora | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Daniel Berger | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Michael Brennan | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bud Cauley | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ryan Fox | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ryan Gerard | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ryo Hisatsune | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rasmus Hojgaard | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Max Homa | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dustin Johnson | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tom McKibbin | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Keith Mitchell | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| John Keefer | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Andrew Novak | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| John Parry | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Andrew Putnam | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Patrick Rodgers | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jayden Schaper | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Matti Schmid | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Austin Smotherman | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Elvis Smylie | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sami Valimaki | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bernd Wiesberger | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Brandt Snedeker | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Christiaan Bezuidenhout | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Daniel Brown | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ricky Castillo | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Stewart Cink | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nicolas Echavarria | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Steven Fisk | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lucas Glover | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Golfer A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Golfer B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Golfer C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Golfer D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Golfer E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Golfer F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Golfer G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Golfer H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Golfer I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Golfer J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Golfer K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Golfer L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Golfer M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Golfer N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Golfer O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Golfer P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Golfer Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Golfer R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Golfer S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Golfer T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 159d |  pascaltiemann2 fills | Alex Smalley | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,391 | −$56 −1.0% | — |
| 159d | Sammy778 | Aaron Rai | SellYes>99¢ | $1,066 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 159d | Tender-Girl-StickerNew account | Aaron Rai | SellYes>99¢ | $1,193 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 159d | Snappy-Niece | Ludvig Aberg | SellNo>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 159d |  User1244322 | Aaron Rai | SellYes>99¢ | $33,962 | −$34 −0.1% | — |
| 159d | chopboys | Aaron Rai | SellYes>99¢ | $2,038 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 159d |  DOLLAR-PRINTER | Scottie Scheffler | SellNo>99¢ | $11,590 | −$12 −0.1% | — |
| 159d | WendyzNutz | Matti Schmid | SellNo>99¢ | $12,725 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 159d | User1244322 | Aaron Rai | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,472 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 159d |  bo0xts | Ludvig Aberg | SellNo>99¢ | $1,748 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 159d | Ru386 | Aaron Rai | SellYes>99¢ | $31,459 | −$38 −0.1% | — |
| 159d | mishipolis2 fills | Alex Smalley | SellNo>99¢ | $5,172 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 159d |  AvocadosFromMexico6 fills | Jon Rahm | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $17,602 | +$743 +4.2% | 4 |
| 159d | cubandave29 | Alex Smalley | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,485 | −$15 −1.0% | — |
| 159d | ilodiwow | Aaron Rai | SellYes>99¢ | $5,665 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 159d | Horrible-Degree | Aaron Rai | SellYes>99¢ | $2,395 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 159d | mishipolis | Ludvig Aberg | SellNo>99¢ | $2,480 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 159d | ndb12 fills | Alex Smalley | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,237 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 159d |  alpheclabs2 fills | Jon Rahm | SellNo>99¢ | $8,532 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 159d | alpheclabs | Matti Schmid | SellNo>99¢ | $7,555 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 159d | alpheclabs | Aaron Rai | SellYes>99¢ | $2,023 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 159d | Ovidio17 | Aaron Rai | SellYes>99¢ | $2,298 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 159d | ndb14 fills | Matti Schmid | BuyNo>99¢ | $22,861 | +$26 +0.1% | 4 |
| 159d | mishipolis | Aaron Rai | SellYes>99¢ | $2,410 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 159d | nlpredmtt4 fills | Matti Schmid | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $7,989 | −$676 −8.5% | — |
| 159d | mishipolis | Jon Rahm | SellNo>99¢ | $3,586 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 159d | mishipolis2 fills | Matti Schmid | SellNo>99¢ | $7,360 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 159d | ndb12 fills | Jon Rahm | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $12,591 | +$2,053 +16% | 8 |
| 159d | ndb1 | Aaron Rai | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,127 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 159d | alpheclabs | Rory McIlroy | SellNo>99¢ | $2,386 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 159d | mishipolis | Rory McIlroy | SellNo>99¢ | $1,031 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 159d | Fearless-Spectacles | Aaron Rai | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,539 | −$58 −1.0% | — |
| 159d | ndb1 | Ludvig Aberg | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,456 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 159d | testtesttesttesttest000 | Jon Rahm | BuyNo>99¢ | $18,000 | +$28 +0.2% | 4 |
| 159d | pascaltiemann | Alex Smalley | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,300 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
| 159d | thesausageking | Aaron Rai | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,933 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
| 159d | AvocadosFromMexico | Aaron Rai | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,108 | +$32 +1.0% | 4 |
| 159d |  xx21341asfd | Aaron Rai | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,066 | −$91 −8.6% | — |
| 159d | ilodiwow2 fills | Aaron Rai | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $3,400 | +$341 +10% | 7 |
| 159d | Hungry-Tune | Xander Schauffele | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,122 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 159d | mishipolis | Patrick Reed | SellNo>99¢ | $1,649 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 159d | pascaltiemann | Justin Thomas | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,021 | −$29 −1.4% | — |
| 159d | AvocadosFromMexico | Matti Schmid | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,363 | +$138 +5.8% | 6 |
| 159d | nlpredmtt2 fills | Matti Schmid | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $4,060 | +$646 +16% | 9 |
| 159d | takeormake | Aaron Rai | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $1,887 | +$593 +31% | 12 |
| 159d | carlaAB | Aaron Rai | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $1,209 | +$461 +38% | 13 |
| 159d | capitalpiston2 | Aaron Rai | SellYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,049 | −$451 −43% | — |
| 159d |  ferenc89 | Matti Schmid | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $2,206 | +$377 +17% | 9 |
| 159d | AvocadosFromMexico2 fills | Justin Thomas | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,507 | +$61 +2.4% | 4 |
| 159d |  SemyonMarmeladov | Aaron Rai | BuyNo35¢ → 0¢ | $3,382 | −$3,382 −100% | 14 |
| 159d | Horrible-Degree | Aaron Rai | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $1,696 | +$809 +48% | 14 |
| 159d | alpheclabs | Nick Taylor | SellNo>99¢ | $3,953 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 159d | Sjels | Matti Schmid | BuyYes15¢ → 0¢ | $1,787 | −$1,787 −100% | 14 |
| 159d | mishipolis | Nick Taylor | SellNo>99¢ | $2,164 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 159d | User12443224 fills | Patrick Reed | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $20,454 | +$325 +1.6% | 4 |
| 159d | AvocadosFromMexico9 fills | Rory McIlroy | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $44,136 | +$2,004 +4.5% | 5 |
| 159d | Ru3864 fills | Aaron Rai | BuyYes42¢ → 100¢ | $7,100 | +$9,908 +140% | 14 |
| 159d |  mooseborzoi | Scottie Scheffler | SellNo>99¢ | $10,806 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 159d | mishipolis | Joaquin Niemann | SellNo>99¢ | $1,329 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 159d | mwenya2 fills | Jon Rahm | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $3,164 | +$836 +26% | 11 |
SemyonMarmeladov15,909 sharesThis market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026. If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Aaron Rai means the market gives it about 100%.