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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOP by <1.5% | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| GOP by 2.25% or more | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| GOP by 2.0%-2.25% | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| GOP by 1.75%-2.0% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| GOP by 1.5%-1.75% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 675d | GOP by <1.5% | BuyYes>99¢ | $30,131 | +$30 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 675d | GOP by <1.5% | BuyYes>99¢ | $16,711 | +$34 +0.2% | 10 | |
| 676d | ytrfdj | GOP by <1.5% | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,005 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 676d | youdoit | GOP by <1.5% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,527 | −$61 −0.8% | — |
| 677d | yeruu2 fills | GOP by <1.5% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,258 | −$17 −0.8% | — |
| 677d | yeruu2 fills | GOP by <1.5% | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,271 | +$5 +0.2% | 10 |
| 677d | GOP by 1.5%-1.75% | SellNo>99¢ | $9,962 | −$38 −0.4% | — | |
| 677d | strictdisclipline8 fills | GOP by <1.5% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $42,409 | −$337 −0.8% | — |
| 677d | superman8888 | GOP by <1.5% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,705 | −$10 −0.6% | — |
| 677d | superman8888 | GOP by <1.5% | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,711 | +$5 +0.3% | 10 |
| 677d | pimonk | GOP by <1.5% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,041 | −$6 −0.6% | — |
| 678d | pimonk | GOP by <1.5% | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,044 | +$3 +0.3% | 10 |
| 679d | ChairmanV | GOP by <1.5% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,312 | −$8 −0.6% | — |
| 679d | ChairmanV | GOP by <1.5% | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,316 | +$4 +0.3% | 10 |
| 679d | GOP by <1.5% | SellYes100¢ | $1,762 | −$9 −0.5% | — | |
| 681d | strictdisclipline4 fills | GOP by <1.5% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $35,968 | +$352 +1.0% | 10 |
| 681d | youdoit9 fills | GOP by <1.5% | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $62,252 | +$8,007 +13% | 10 |
| 681d | ostrygracz | GOP by <1.5% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,045 | −$16 −1.5% | — |
| 681d | szakal | GOP by <1.5% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,259 | −$34 −1.5% | — |
| 681d | ostrygracz | GOP by <1.5% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,053 | +$8 +0.8% | 10 |
| 681d | szakal | GOP by <1.5% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,275 | +$18 +0.8% | 10 |
| 682d | GOP by <1.5% | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $66,937 | −$1,080 −1.6% | — | |
| 683d | GOP by <1.5% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,067 | −$14 −1.3% | — | |
| 683d | InsiderrrZ2 fills | GOP by 1.5%-1.75% | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,564 | −$105 −1.1% | — |
| 684d | Melody6264 fills | GOP by 1.5%-1.75% | SellNo>99¢ | $89,083 | −$425 −0.5% | — |
| 684d | GOP by 1.5%-1.75% | SellNo>99¢ | $1,925 | −$8 −0.4% | — | |
| 684d | GOP by 1.5%-1.75% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,927 | +$6 +0.3% | 10 | |
| 685d | markjackson2t | GOP by 1.5%-1.75% | SellNo>99¢ | $2,742 | −$11 −0.4% | — |
| 685d | markjackson2t | GOP by 1.5%-1.75% | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,745 | +$8 +0.3% | 10 |
| 685d | Predictandbreathe | GOP by <1.5% | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,932 | −$68 −1.7% | — |
| 685d | GOP by <1.5% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $16,341 | +$232 +1.4% | 10 | |
| 687d | eunice-5615 fills | GOP by <1.5% | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $28,370 | −$1,861 −6.6% | — |
| 688d | GOP by 1.75%-2.0% | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,876 | +$12 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 688d | GOP by <1.5% | SellYes87¢ → 100¢ | $4,765 | −$705 −15% | — | |
| 688d | GOP by <1.5% | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $9,820 | −$180 −1.8% | — | |
| 688d | GOP by <1.5% | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,732 | −$32 −1.8% | — | |
| 689d | KaranS | GOP by <1.5% | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,030 | −$20 −1.9% | — |
| 689d | GOP by 1.5%-1.75% | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,483 | −$31 −0.9% | — | |
| 689d | GOP by <1.5% | SellYes75¢ → 100¢ | $12,476 | −$4,055 −33% | — | |
| 689d | 0x69a4…bba9 | GOP by <1.5% | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,434 | −$47 −1.9% | — |
| 689d | GOP by <1.5% | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,995 | −$40 −2.0% | — | |
| 689d | eunice-5612 fills | GOP by 1.5%-1.75% | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $34,584 | −$391 −1.1% | — |
| 689d | ASOFE3 fills | GOP by <1.5% | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $32,902 | −$2,394 −7.3% | — |
| 689d | ASOFE3 fills | GOP by 1.5%-1.75% | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $10,506 | −$1,489 −14% | — |
| 689d | Mega | GOP by <1.5% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,942 | −$26 −1.3% | — |
| 689d | D.J.Pump7 fills | GOP by <1.5% | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $10,217 | +$5,221 +51% | 10 |
| 689d | D.J.Pump | GOP by 1.5%-1.75% | SellNo100¢ | $1,369 | −$7 −0.5% | — |
| 689d | Mega | GOP by 1.5%-1.75% | SellNo100¢ | $1,983 | −$10 −0.5% | — |
| 689d | gebran | GOP by 1.5%-1.75% | SellNo100¢ | $14,843 | −$75 −0.5% | — |
| 689d | PolyPredictor | GOP by <1.5% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,850 | −$150 −1.5% | — |
| 689d | youdoit | GOP by 1.5%-1.75% | SellNo100¢ | $22,553 | −$113 −0.5% | — |
| 689d | GOP by <1.5% | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $15,721 | +$6,540 +42% | 10 | |
| 689d | GOP by 1.5%-1.75% | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,742 | −$268 −9.8% | — | |
| 689d | GOP by <1.5% | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $29,685 | +$6,446 +22% | 10 | |
| 689d | HLB-3772 fills | GOP by <1.5% | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $4,459 | +$1,076 +24% | 10 |
| 689d | gebran3 fills | GOP by <1.5% | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $12,335 | +$1,374 +11% | 10 |
| 689d | GOP by <1.5% | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,062 | +$166 +16% | 10 | |
| 689d | GOP by 1.5%-1.75% | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,406 | +$254 +18% | 10 | |
| 689d | InsiderrrZ5 fills | GOP by <1.5% | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $8,664 | +$3,772 +44% | 10 |
| 689d | gebran4 fills | GOP by 1.5%-1.75% | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $10,041 | +$2,005 +20% | 10 |
This is a market on the margin of victory in the popular vote, categorized into 0.25% ranges.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for GOP by <1.5% means the market gives it about 100%.