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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| António José Seguro (IND) | 100% | +58 pts | +42 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| André Ventura (CH) | 0% | −6 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) | 0% | −51 pts | −34 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Paulo Portas (CDS) | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Manuela Magno (IND) | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND) | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Raul Perestrello (IND) | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD) | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Catarina Martins (BE) | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Joana Amaral Dias (ADN) | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Aristides Teixeira (IND) | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vitorino Silva (IND) | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| António Filipe (PCP) | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| José Cardoso (PLS) | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jorge Pinto | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Humberto Correia | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tim Vieira (IND) | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| André Pestana (IND) | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Orlando Cruz (IND) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ângela Maryah (IND) | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Manuel João Vieira | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rui Moreira (IND) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate Z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 278d | ForFamily3 fills | António José Seguro (IND) | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,922 | +$9 +0.1% | 10 |
| 278d | wokerjoesleeper | António José Seguro (IND) | SellYes>99¢ | $1,155 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 278d | ForFamily2 fills | André Ventura (CH) | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,148 | +$6 +0.2% | 10 |
| 278d |  ggmggn | António José Seguro (IND) | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,802 | +$6 +0.3% | 10 |
| 278d |  tomatosauce2 | André Ventura (CH) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,192 | +$5 +0.4% | 10 |
| 278d | tomatosauce2 | António José Seguro (IND) | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,134 | +$6 +0.5% | 10 |
| 278d |  Leonid-Sport | André Ventura (CH) | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,212 | +$35 +1.6% | 10 |
| 278d |  gopfan2 | João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) | BuyNo58¢ → 100¢ | $2,119 | +$1,562 +74% | 12 |
| 280d | influenz.eth | André Ventura (CH) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,030 | +$13 +1.2% | 10 |
| 280d | wokerjoesleeper | Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,110 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 280d | wokerjoesleeper | Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,110 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 280d | influenz.eth | Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,041 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 280d | influenz.eth | Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,041 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 282d | Snoorrason2 fills | Paulo Portas (CDS) | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,623 | +$7 +0.1% | 10 |
| 282d | Snoorrason | Raul Perestrello (IND) | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,956 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
BigG-11,000 sharesPresidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that receives the highest number of valid votes in the first round of this election in the Lisbon District (Distrito Lisboa). If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the first round of this election in the Lisbon District, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, such as on the Website of the Portuguese Ministry of Internal Administration (Ministério da Administração Interna) (https://www.eleicoes.mai.gov.pt/), or the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for António José Seguro (IND) means the market gives it about 100%.