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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 | 100% | +68 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <10 | 0% | −7 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 15-19 | 0% | −46 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 20-24 | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 25-29 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 30-34 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| 35-39 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 40-44 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 45-49 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 50+ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 632d | oneday1 | 10-14 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,136 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 632d | RobXK | 10-14 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,540 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 633d | Monster24 | 25-29 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,338 | −$20 −0.5% | — |
| 633d | ThereIsNoSpoon | 50+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,046 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 634d | Monster24 | 20-24 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,340 | +$121 +2.8% | 21 |
| 634d | Monster24 | 25-29 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,345 | +$14 +0.3% | 20 |
| 634d |  Debosnys | 45-49 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 634d | Kelk34 | <10 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,743 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 634d | Kelk34 | <10 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,715 | +$30 +1.1% | 20 |
| 636d | Sirius109 | 40-44 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,604 | +$33 +2.0% | 20 |
| 637d | 0x4e25…d7a7 | 10-14 | BuyNo72¢ → 0¢ | $1,105 | −$1,105 −100% | 22 |
This market will resolve according to the number of times President Donald J. Trump (@POTUS), posts on X between January 22, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 29, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 10-14 means the market gives it about 100%.