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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Purdy | 21% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 19¢ · 22¢ (3¢) | $11.4 | in 94d |
| Jared Goff | 18% | — | −1 pts | 17¢ · 19¢ (2¢) | — | in 94d |
| Joe Burrow | 15% | +1 pts | −5 pts | 14¢ · 16¢ (2¢) | — | in 94d |
| Trevor Lawrence | 11% | 0 pts | +3 pts | 10¢ · 12¢ (2¢) | $18.7 | in 80d |
| Kyler Murray | 10% | +6 pts | +9 pts | — · 19¢ | — | in 94d |
| Matthew Stafford | 9% | +1 pts | −8 pts | 8¢ · 10¢ (2¢) | — | in 94d |
| Kirk Cousins | 8% | 0 pts | +3 pts | 5¢ · 11¢ (6¢) | — | in 80d |
| Drake Maye | 7% | −1 pts | +4 pts | 7¢ · 7¢ (<1¢) | $148 | in 80d |
| Dak Prescott | 6% | +1 pts | −2 pts | 3¢ · 10¢ (8¢) | — | in 94d |
| Jaxson Dart | 6% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 1¢ · 10¢ (9¢) | — | in 80d |
| Patrick Mahomes | 6% | −1 pts | −6 pts | 3¢ · 8¢ (5¢) | $14 | in 80d |
| Bryce Young | 4% | — | — | — · 7¢ | — | in 94d |
| Jordan Love | 3% | 0 pts | +1 pts | <1¢ · 7¢ (7¢) | — | in 94d |
| Josh Allen | 3% | — | −2 pts | 2¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | — | in 80d |
| C.J. Stroud | 3% | 0 pts | +1 pts | <1¢ · 6¢ (6¢) | — | in 80d |
| Caleb Williams | 3% | — | +1 pts | <1¢ · 6¢ (6¢) | — | in 94d |
| Sam Darnold | 3% | — | +1 pts | <1¢ · 6¢ (6¢) | — | in 94d |
| Aaron Rodgers | 3% | −1 pts | +2 pts | <1¢ · 5¢ (5¢) | — | in 80d |
| Bo Nix | 2% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 5¢ (5¢) | — | in 80d |
| Lamar Jackson | 2% | +1 pts | +1 pts | <1¢ · 4¢ (4¢) | — | in 80d |
| Justin Herbert | 2% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 4¢ (4¢) | — | in 80d |
| JJ McCarthy | 2% | −11 pts | −2 pts | <1¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | — | in 94d |
| Jayden Daniels | 2% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | — | in 94d |
| Tyler Shough | 2% | — | — | <1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | — | in 94d |
| Michael Penix Jr. | 1% | — | 0 pts | — · 3¢ | — | in 94d |
| Daniel Jones | 1% | — | — | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | in 80d |
| Jacoby Brissett | 1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | in 94d |
| Geno Smith | 1% | — | 0 pts | — · 2¢ | — | in 80d |
| Deshaun Watson | 1% | — | −1 pts | — · 2¢ | — | in 80d |
| Carson Beck | 1% | — | 0 pts | — · 2¢ | — | in 94d |
| Cam Ward | 1% | — | −1 pts | — · 1¢ | — | in 80d |
| Jalen Hurts | 1% | — | −1 pts | — · 1¢ | — | in 94d |
| Malik Willis | <1% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | in 80d |
| Shedeur Sanders | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 80d |
| Fernando Mendoza | <1% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 80d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher completion percentage during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 21¢ for Brock Purdy means the market gives it about 21%.