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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen | 28% | +2 pts | +4 pts | 27¢ · 30¢ (3¢) | $1.55K | in 128d |
| Brock Purdy | 27% | −1 pts | +2 pts | 26¢ · 27¢ (1¢) | $92.7 | in 114d |
| Patrick Mahomes | 9% | −1 pts | −1 pts | 8¢ · 10¢ (1¢) | — | in 128d |
| Trevor Lawrence | 6% | 0 pts | −2 pts | 5¢ · 7¢ (2¢) | $13 | in 128d |
| Joe Burrow | 5% | — | −1 pts | 5¢ · 5¢ (<1¢) | — | in 128d |
| Drake Maye | 4% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 3¢ · 5¢ (2¢) | — | in 114d |
| Caleb Williams | 4% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 4¢ · 5¢ (1¢) | $5.93K | in 128d |
| Jordan Love | 3% | +2 pts | +3 pts | 1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | $50.1 | in 114d |
| Jared Goff | 3% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 2¢ · 4¢ (2¢) | — | in 128d |
| Lamar Jackson | 2% | −1 pts | −5 pts | 1¢ · 3¢ (2¢) | — | in 114d |
| Dak Prescott | 2% | −1 pts | −1 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | in 114d |
| Justin Herbert | 1% | — | +1 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 114d |
| Jaxson Smith-Njigba | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 128d |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 128d |
| Matthew Stafford | <1% | — | −2 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 128d |
| Bo Nix | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 114d |
| Saquon Barkley | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 128d |
| Derrick Henry | <1% | 0 pts | −1 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $1.71K | in 128d |
| Jalen Hurts | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $995 | in 114d |
| Justin Jefferson | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 128d |
| Jaxson Dart | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 128d |
| Baker Mayfield | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 128d |
| Bijan Robinson | <1% | — | −1 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 128d |
| De'Von Achane | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 128d |
| Christian McCaffrey | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $7.24K | in 128d |
| Sam Darnold | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 128d |
| Myles Garrett | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 128d |
| Puka Nacua | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 128d |
| Player J | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 128d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26d | termsandcondition | Caleb Williams | BuyNo95¢ → 96¢ | $19,129 | +$90 +0.5% | 7 |
| 33d | 4qfrankie | Caleb Williams | BuyNo94¢ → 96¢ | $5,206 | +$80 +1.5% | 8 |
| 33d |  ChrisBill2 fills | Caleb Williams | BuyNo85¢ → 96¢ | $3,408 | +$430 +13% | 14 |
| 33d |  Hyperlong3 fills | Josh Allen | BuyNo78¢ → 72¢ | $4,656 | −$369 −7.9% | 19 |
| 36d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed2 fills | Caleb Williams | SellNo83¢ → 96¢ | $2,839 | −$428 −15% | — |
| 37d | Hyperlong3 fills | Caleb Williams | BuyNo85¢ → 96¢ | $4,385 | +$538 +12% | 14 |
| 37d | zheyufacai2 fills | Caleb Williams | BuyNo88¢ → 96¢ | $3,069 | +$264 +8.6% | 12 |
| 38d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | Caleb Williams | BuyNo84¢ → 96¢ | $1,366 | +$187 +14% | 14 |
| 38d | anciano | Justin Herbert | BuyNo95¢ → 99¢ | $1,057 | +$44 +4.2% | 4 |
| 38d | anciano | Caleb Williams | BuyNo84¢ → 96¢ | $3,317 | +$472 +14% | 15 |
| 38d | piratesfan1313 | Jordan Love | BuyNo95¢ → 97¢ | $1,894 | +$41 +2.2% | 8 |
| 38d | piratesfan1313 | Caleb Williams | BuyNo84¢ → 96¢ | $3,260 | +$450 +14% | 14 |
| 39d |  Bulan | Dak Prescott | BuyNo94¢ → 99¢ | $1,541 | +$82 +5.3% | 4 |
| 40d | Bulan | Caleb Williams | BuyNo84¢ → 96¢ | $1,676 | +$243 +14% | 15 |
| 40d | cryplor | Caleb Williams | BuyNo84¢ → 96¢ | $1,789 | +$267 +15% | 15 |
| 40d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | Justin Herbert | BuyNo89¢ → 99¢ | $1,780 | +$199 +11% | 4 |
| 42d | zheyufacai | Drake Maye | BuyNo91¢ → 96¢ | $1,092 | +$58 +5.3% | 4 |
| 44d | LCB1 | Lamar Jackson | BuyNo87¢ → 98¢ | $1,378 | +$177 +13% | 4 |
| 45d | legendofanime | Drake Maye | SellNo91¢ → 96¢ | $1,806 | −$95 −5.3% | — |
| 49d | Bulan | Lamar Jackson | BuyNo85¢ → 98¢ | $2,106 | +$327 +16% | 4 |
| 57d | Hyperlong | Jahmyr Gibbs | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,386 | −$11 −0.8% | — |
| 61d | Hyperlong2 fills | Brock Purdy | BuyNo91¢ → 73¢ | $3,306 | −$645 −19% | 10 |
| 65d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | Dak Prescott | BuyNo92¢ → 99¢ | $1,556 | +$106 +6.8% | 4 |
| 68d |  JUSTINHERBERTMVP2 fills | Justin Herbert | BuyYes10¢ → 1¢ | $2,178 | −$1,949 −90% | 4 |
| 74d | Hyperlong | Jahmyr Gibbs | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,358 | +$39 +2.9% | 4 |
| 75d | zheyufacai | Justin Herbert | SellNo90¢ → 99¢ | $1,021 | −$101 −9.9% | — |
| 79d | Hyperlong | Justin Herbert | BuyNo88¢ → 99¢ | $1,998 | +$237 +12% | 4 |
| 79d | zheyufacai2 fills | Justin Herbert | BuyNo88¢ → 99¢ | $2,342 | +$291 +12% | 4 |
| 80d | zheyufacai | Jalen Hurts | BuyNo96¢ → >99¢ | $1,148 | +$50 +4.3% | 7 |
| 104d | ndb1 | Justin Jefferson | SellNo>99¢ | $1,100 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 105d | ndb1 | Justin Jefferson | BuyNo94¢ → >99¢ | $1,012 | +$63 +6.3% | 4 |
| 154d | keenpg4rCXane4 fills | Baker Mayfield | SellNo99¢ → >99¢ | $48,712 | −$380 −0.8% | — |
| 154d | keenpg4rCXane4 fills | Baker Mayfield | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $48,772 | +$320 +0.7% | 4 |
| 154d | sileno6RrWLitn4 fills | Saquon Barkley | SellNo>99¢ | $56,732 | −$132 −0.2% | — |
| 154d | sileno6RrWLitn4 fills | Saquon Barkley | BuyNo>99¢ | $56,799 | +$60 +0.1% | 4 |
| 155d | dolbvMGNOtter | Lamar Jackson | SellNo93¢ → 98¢ | $7,278 | −$407 −5.6% | — |
| 155d | dolbvMGNOtter | Lamar Jackson | BuyNo93¢ → 98¢ | $7,287 | +$408 +5.6% | 4 |
Hyperlong6,401 sharesThis market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 28¢ for Josh Allen means the market gives it about 28%.