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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50+ | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 60+ | 100% | −6 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 70+ | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 80+ | 100% | −28 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 90+ | 100% | −47 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 214d | M888 | 70+ | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,190 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 239d | Untimely-Refusal-RealNew account | 90+ | BuyYes50¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$5,000 +100% | 15 |
bjprolo100 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the displayed Rotten Tomatoes “All Critics” Tomatometer score for Project Hail Mary (2026) is at least equal to the specified number at 10:00 AM ET on March 23, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If, for any reason, the resolution data is unavailable at this market's specified end time, the resolution source will be checked until the relevant data is available. This market will resolve to “No” if no data is available by March 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 50+ means the market gives it about 100%.