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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $400M | 7% | — | 0 pts | 6¢ · 7¢ (1¢) | — | in 69d |
| $100M | 22% | −2 pts | −1 pts | 20¢ · 23¢ (3¢) | $2.25K | in 69d |
| $200M | 16% | +1 pts | +1 pts | 15¢ · 16¢ (1¢) | $720 | in 69d |
| $50M | 24% | +4 pts | −2 pts | 23¢ · 24¢ (1¢) | $376 | in 69d |
| $300M | 6% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 5¢ · 7¢ (2¢) | $60 | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4d | hose4 fills | $100M | BuyNo76¢ → 79¢ | $12,500 | +$391 +3.1% | 6 |
| 15d | Fenomenus1 | $200M | SellNo81¢ → 85¢ | $2,307 | −$93 −4.0% | — |
| 37d | randomlypunting | $50M | BuyNo75¢ → 77¢ | $1,676 | +$34 +2.0% | 6 |
| 38d | 83offwrf2 fills | $200M | BuyNo85¢ | $3,310 | −$19 −0.6% | 5 |
| 39d | Rickz88 | $100M | SellNo71¢ → 79¢ | $1,492 | −$163 −11% | — |
| 44d | niffgjyf | $200M | BuyNo84¢ → 85¢ | $2,575 | +$15 +0.6% | 5 |
| 49d | anton534 | $100M | SellNo69¢ → 79¢ | $1,538 | −$206 −13% | — |
| 49d | anton534 | $50M | SellNo65¢ → 77¢ | $2,180 | −$370 −17% | — |
| 58d | randomlypunting | $200M | BuyNo82¢ → 85¢ | $1,418 | +$43 +3.0% | 5 |
| 66d | niffgjyf | $100M | SellNo74¢ → 79¢ | $1,886 | −$104 −5.5% | — |
| 71d | TommyKFCV50 | $200M | SellNo83¢ → 85¢ | $1,023 | −$19 −1.8% | — |
| 72d | zzaqq22 fills | $100M | BuyNo73¢ → 79¢ | $3,302 | +$247 +7.5% | 6 |
| 74d | holintya | $200M | SellNo81¢ → 85¢ | $1,155 | −$46 −4.0% | — |
| 81d | gydmasg2 fills | $200M | BuyNo79¢ → 85¢ | $4,035 | +$262 +6.5% | 5 |
| 83d | agrarward | $400M | SellNo91¢ → 94¢ | $1,041 | −$26 −2.5% | — |
| 93d | MaxEnt3 fills | $100M | BuyNo62¢ → 79¢ | $4,539 | +$1,191 +26% | 7 |
| 113d | fbdfbddfb | $200M | SellNo59¢ → 85¢ | $1,493 | −$631 −42% | — |
| 123d | replicatooor | $200M | SellNo61¢ → 85¢ | $1,841 | −$724 −39% | — |
| 127d | Sticky-Overexertion | $50M | SellYes44¢ → 24¢ | $4,321 | +$2,004 +46% | — |
| 127d | Sticky-Overexertion | $50M | BuyYes91¢ → 24¢ | $9,000 | −$6,683 −74% | 3 |
| 167d |  mmarbles3 fills | $200M | SellNo83¢ → 85¢ | $3,437 | −$48 −1.4% | — |
| 173d | Mushy-Gray | $100M | BuyNo51¢ → 79¢ | $1,020 | +$550 +54% | 7 |
| 178d | Suburbmaxxing | $100M | BuyNo51¢ → 79¢ | $1,029 | +$555 +54% | 7 |
| 184d | Stupendous-Sabre2 fills | $100M | SellNo52¢ → 79¢ | $2,596 | −$1,329 −51% | — |
| 184d | Stupendous-Sabre2 fills | $50M | SellNo32¢ → 77¢ | $3,029 | −$4,206 −139% | — |
| 189d | viberefllex2 fills | $50M | BuyNo41¢ → 77¢ | $4,240 | +$3,697 +87% | 10 |
| 189d |  Hyperlong | $100M | BuyNo62¢ → 79¢ | $1,027 | +$263 +26% | 7 |
| 194d | mmarbles2 fills | $100M | SellNo66¢ → 79¢ | $3,232 | −$594 −18% | — |
| 201d | CRIME-IS-LEGAL | $100M | BuyNo68¢ → 79¢ | $4,200 | +$658 +16% | 7 |
| 206d |  Armin-1Q | $50M | SellNo32¢ → 77¢ | $2,288 | −$3,182 −139% | — |
| 208d | qicake | $50M | SellYes70¢ → 24¢ | $6,983 | +$4,638 +66% | — |
| 208d | shishry | $50M | SellYes70¢ → 24¢ | $9,437 | +$6,269 +66% | — |
| 208d | xibaly | $50M | SellYes70¢ → 24¢ | $6,119 | +$4,065 +66% | — |
| 208d | mhowang | $50M | SellYes70¢ → 24¢ | $10,319 | +$6,855 +66% | — |
| 209d |  Tamahau | $200M | SellNo80¢ → 85¢ | $1,077 | −$54 −5.0% | — |
| 210d | qicake | $50M | BuyYes72¢ → 24¢ | $7,182 | −$4,838 −67% | 7 |
| 210d | shishry | $50M | BuyYes72¢ → 24¢ | $9,706 | −$6,538 −67% | 7 |
| 210d | mhowang | $50M | BuyYes72¢ → 24¢ | $10,614 | −$7,149 −67% | 7 |
| 210d | purple1 | $50M | BuyNo28¢ → 77¢ | $2,447 | +$4,239 +173% | 11 |
| 223d |  upont | $100M | BuyNo72¢ → 79¢ | $2,472 | +$234 +9.5% | 7 |
| 223d | Rickz88 | $100M | BuyNo73¢ → 79¢ | $1,093 | +$84 +7.7% | 7 |
| 223d |  NeverYES | $100M | BuyNo61¢ → 79¢ | $6,460 | +$1,853 +29% | 7 |
| 224d | stadler | $200M | SellNo79¢ → 85¢ | $1,350 | −$101 −7.5% | — |
| 224d | georgy26 | $200M | SellNo83¢ → 85¢ | $1,309 | −$26 −2.0% | — |
| 232d | fenyaos | $50M | SellYes66¢ → 24¢ | $17,820 | +$11,475 +64% | — |
| 232d | sweters | $50M | SellYes66¢ → 24¢ | $18,150 | +$11,688 +64% | — |
| 232d | linmen | $50M | SellNo33¢ → 77¢ | $8,250 | −$10,875 −132% | — |
| 232d | mufettis | $50M | SellYes65¢ → 24¢ | $1,430 | +$913 +64% | — |
| 232d | sweters | $50M | BuyYes63¢ → 24¢ | $17,325 | −$10,863 −63% | 7 |
| 232d | aziza | $50M | BuyYes63¢ → 24¢ | $15,750 | −$9,875 −63% | 7 |
| 232d | fenyaos | $50M | BuyYes63¢ → 24¢ | $17,010 | −$10,665 −63% | 7 |
| 233d | goodboys1 | $50M | SellYes63¢ → 24¢ | $13,456 | +$8,437 +63% | — |
| 233d | yumili | $50M | SellNo37¢ → 77¢ | $8,998 | −$9,606 −107% | — |
| 233d | goodboys1 | $50M | BuyYes64¢ → 24¢ | $13,670 | −$8,650 −63% | 7 |
| 233d | lvdoubing | $50M | BuyYes64¢ → 24¢ | $15,564 | −$9,849 −63% | 7 |
| 236d | chazi | $50M | SellYes63¢ → 24¢ | $16,512 | +$10,353 +63% | — |
| 236d | molihua | $50M | SellNo37¢ → 77¢ | $9,968 | −$10,642 −107% | — |
| 237d | chazi | $50M | BuyYes61¢ → 24¢ | $15,987 | −$9,828 −61% | 7 |
| 237d | caomeizi | $50M | BuyYes61¢ → 24¢ | $16,434 | −$10,103 −61% | 7 |
| 238d |  geopolitical-expert | $200M | BuyNo87¢ → 85¢ | $1,051 | −$30 −2.9% | 4 |
2B9S211 shares
mewmew11,040 shares
m44173 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Puffpaw's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Puffpaw (https://www.puffpaw.xyz/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 7¢ for $400M means the market gives it about 7%.