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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-15% | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| >23% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| 19-23% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| 15-19% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| 7-11% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| <7% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 843d | MaxMeng | 15-19% | BuyYes53¢ → 0¢ | $2,450 | −$2,450 −100% | 18 |
| 855d | 7-11% | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$96 +8.7% | 10 |
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Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 11-15% means the market gives it about 100%.