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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elon Musk | 100% | — | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Larry Ellison | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mark Zuckerberg | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bernard Arnault | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jeff Bezos | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jensen Huang | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Warren Buffett | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 388d |  basedcigany | Elon Musk | SellYes>99¢ | $4,000 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 389d | basedcigany2 fills | Elon Musk | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,000 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 403d | BITCOINTO500K | Elon Musk | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,618 | +$85 +5.3% | 4 |
| 406d | 0x4e25…d7a7 | Elon Musk | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $1,612 | +$330 +20% | 4 |
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on September 30, 2025, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by October 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Elon Musk means the market gives it about 100%.