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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elon Musk | 100% | 0 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Larry Ellison | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mark Zuckerberg | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bernard Arnault | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jeff Bezos | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jensen Huang | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Warren Buffett | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 357d |  lifelong | Elon Musk | SellYes>99¢ | $2,536 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 358d | LFC8 | Larry Ellison | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,266 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 359d | Kuei1995 | Larry Ellison | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,390 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 359d | Kuei1995 | Elon Musk | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,278 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 359d | mybigmoney | Larry Ellison | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,993 | +$7 +0.4% | 4 |
| 359d | omaar123 | Larry Ellison | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,980 | +$20 +0.4% | 4 |
| 359d | omaar123 | Elon Musk | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,972 | +$28 +0.4% | 4 |
| 360d | Orange-ProductivityNew account | Jeff Bezos | SellNo>99¢ | $1,099 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 360d | Orange-ProductivityNew account | Bernard Arnault | SellNo>99¢ | $1,100 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 360d | Orange-ProductivityNew account | Mark Zuckerberg | SellNo>99¢ | $1,101 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 360d |  kaspersz | Elon Musk | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,103 | +$7 +0.6% | 4 |
| 361d | amis | Elon Musk | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,456 | −$44 −1.8% | — |
| 361d | maxthegreat | Elon Musk | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,039 | −$58 −1.4% | — |
| 362d |  madril | Mark Zuckerberg | SellNo>99¢ | $18,962 | −$38 −0.2% | — |
| 362d | madril | Mark Zuckerberg | BuyNo>99¢ | $18,981 | +$19 +0.1% | 4 |
| 363d | 3000w | Warren Buffett | SellNo>99¢ | $1,076 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 364d | rchuwei | Elon Musk | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,004 | −$16 −1.6% | — |
| 365d | amis | Elon Musk | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,019 | +$14 +1.4% | 4 |
| 365d |  IwillWin | Larry Ellison | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$20 +1.0% | 4 |
| 365d | lifelong | Elon Musk | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,970 | +$30 +1.5% | 4 |
| 366d | Showy-Epoxy | Elon Musk | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,039 | +$16 +1.6% | 4 |
| 366d | Zz2025zZ | Elon Musk | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,928 | +$72 +1.8% | 4 |
| 367d | 3000w | Warren Buffett | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,077 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 367d | 0x4e25…d7a7 | Bernard Arnault | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,512 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 367d | Only-TopNew account | Elon Musk | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,005 | −$39 −3.9% | — |
| 368d | SebRedBull | Elon Musk | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,096 | −$82 −3.9% | — |
| 370d | maxthegreat | Elon Musk | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,003 | +$94 +2.3% | 4 |
| 371d | Only-TopNew account | Elon Musk | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$44 +4.4% | 6 |
| 372d | tmry-st | Mark Zuckerberg | SellNo>99¢ | $9,980 | −$20 −0.2% | — |
| 372d | tmry-st | Mark Zuckerberg | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 373d | darintaylor5931 | Larry Ellison | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,487 | +$125 +2.8% | 4 |
| 375d | usogui | Elon Musk | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,128 | +$75 +3.5% | 4 |
| 376d | xde33444 | Mark Zuckerberg | SellNo>99¢ | $1,210 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 376d | xde33444 | Mark Zuckerberg | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,211 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 377d | kk47jfer | Mark Zuckerberg | SellNo>99¢ | $1,715 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 377d | kk47jfer | Mark Zuckerberg | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,717 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 377d | Fickle-Supporter | Mark Zuckerberg | SellNo>99¢ | $1,508 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 377d | Fickle-Supporter | Mark Zuckerberg | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,510 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 377d | sdffh6tg | Mark Zuckerberg | SellNo>99¢ | $1,176 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 377d | sdffh6tg | Mark Zuckerberg | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,177 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 377d | bhgtrdcvc | Mark Zuckerberg | SellNo>99¢ | $1,225 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 377d | pengpengDou | Mark Zuckerberg | SellNo>99¢ | $1,092 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 377d | bhgtrdcvc | Mark Zuckerberg | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,227 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 377d | pengpengDou | Mark Zuckerberg | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,093 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 378d | vw33e43ew | Jeff Bezos | SellNo>99¢ | $1,288 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 378d | vw33e43ew | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,290 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 378d | vw33e43ew | Mark Zuckerberg | SellNo>99¢ | $1,401 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 378d | vw33e43ew | Mark Zuckerberg | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,402 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 378d | rrtfyuhg7u | Mark Zuckerberg | SellNo>99¢ | $1,029 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 378d | rrtfyuhg7u | Mark Zuckerberg | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,030 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 378d | fg035 | Warren Buffett | SellNo>99¢ | $1,032 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 378d | fg035 | Warren Buffett | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,033 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 378d | fg034 | Warren Buffett | SellNo>99¢ | $1,028 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 378d | fg034 | Warren Buffett | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,029 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 378d | shiyyya004 | Warren Buffett | SellNo>99¢ | $1,953 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 378d | shiyyya004 | Warren Buffett | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,955 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 378d | dfgdfa | Warren Buffett | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 378d | dfgdfa | Warren Buffett | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 378d | sdgrert | Jensen Huang | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,001 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 378d | longshujuan | Warren Buffett | SellNo>99¢ | $2,009 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
ImmortalPlayerxF3 shares
Frosen3,036 sharesThis market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on October 31, 2025, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by October 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Elon Musk means the market gives it about 100%.