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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 100% | +3 pts | +15 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Man City | 0% | −2 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bayern Munich | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Arsenal | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| PSG | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Liverpool | 0% | −3 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tottenham | 0% | −1 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Al Hilal | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 416d |  0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | Arsenal | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,255 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 416d | TheLastOfMachine | Liverpool | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,902 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 416d | TheLastOfMachine | PSG | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,385 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 416d | TheLastOfMachine | Al Hilal | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,924 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 416d | wokerjoesleeper | Liverpool | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,769 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 416d | wokerjoesleeper | Arsenal | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,769 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 416d | wokerjoesleeper | Al Hilal | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,769 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 416d | wokerjoesleeper | Tottenham | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,769 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 416d | wokerjoesleeper | PSG | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,769 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 416d | wokerjoesleeper | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,769 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 416d | wokerjoesleeper | Bayern Munich | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,769 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 416d | 0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | Real Madrid | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,878 | +$11 +0.6% | 4 |
| 416d |  exit-liqudity | Bayern Munich | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,233 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 417d | esac | Bayern Munich | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,310 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 417d | esac | Tottenham | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,747 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 417d | esac | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,260 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 417d | esac | Al Hilal | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,095 | +$4 +0.4% | 4 |
This is a polymarket to predict which club Rodrygo will transfer to between August 14, 2025, and September 1, 2025, at 2:00 PM ET. If Rodrygo transfers to the listed club before the resolution deadline, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". This market will close on Monday, September 1, 2025, at 2:00 PM ET, when the La Liga transfer window officially closes. If Rodrygo does not transfer to a new club by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Real Madrid". A transfer will qualify as "Yes" if Rodrygo officially transfers to the listed club before the resolution deadline, even if he has not yet appeared in a match for them. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Real Madrid or the new club he joins. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Real Madrid means the market gives it about 100%.