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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Zealand | 100% | −22 pts | — | 50¢ · 100¢ (50¢) | — | ended |
| South Africa | 0% | 0 pts | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Draw | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · 2¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58d |  C6H6 | New Zealand | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,119 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
This event refers to the Rugby's Greatest Rivalry match between South Africa and New Zealand, scheduled for August 22 at 11:00AM ET. The result after 80 minutes of regulation play, including stoppage time, will be used. Extra time and penalty kicks do not count. If the match is postponed, the markets will remain open for the rescheduled fixture. If it is canceled, abandoned without an official regulation-time result, or delayed more than 7 days without beginning, the Draw outcome will resolve Yes and both team outcomes will resolve No. Resolution will be based on official World Rugby results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for New Zealand means the market gives it about 100%.