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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ireland | 100% | −7 pts | −5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Draw | 0% | — | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wales | 0% | — | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 231d | LeyJamesO | Ireland | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,376 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
| 231d | influenz.eth2 fills | Draw | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,264 | +$47 +1.1% | 4 |
| 231d |  Lou | Ireland | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,620 | +$85 +5.3% | 4 |
w34th3r20 sharesThis event is for the upcoming Six Nations match between Ireland and Wales, scheduled for March 6 2026.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Ireland means the market gives it about 100%.