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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wales | 100% | −1 pts | −22 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Draw | 0% | — | −38 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Italy | 0% | −1 pts | +20 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 224d | Luisfero16 | Wales | SellYes>99¢ | $4,848 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 224d | pelik | Draw | BuyNo>99¢ | $21,539 | +$22 +0.1% | 4 |
| 224d |  abhionpoly | Draw | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,778 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 224d | zxc368 | Draw | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 224d |  Sam.Young | Draw | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 224d | 0x0da9…b527 | Wales | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,803 | −$222 −12% | — |
| 224d | Luisfero16 | Wales | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $4,600 | +$253 +5.5% | 4 |
| 224d | jyben13 | Italy | BuyYes58¢ → 0¢ | $2,277 | −$2,277 −100% | 4 |
Lavincey119 sharesThis event is for the upcoming Six Nations match between Wales and Italy, scheduled for March 14 2026.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Wales means the market gives it about 100%.