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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 31 | >99% | +3 pts | +83 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | $1.15M | in 7d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5m |  tetrase2 fills | October 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $22,200 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 2h | trx1 | October 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,971 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 11h |  Car3 fills | October 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $67,414 | +$52 +0.1% | 4 |
| 15h |  urhfrhchj1231232 fills | October 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $10,348 | −$12 −0.1% | — |
| 17h |  CosmicCedar | October 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,093 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 18h |  Amadea | October 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,990 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 18h | tetrase | October 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $35,377 | +$18 +0.1% | 4 |
| 20h |  Snow-White | October 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $53,330 | +$27 +0.1% | 4 |
| 20h |  ShewasonlyonTRT | October 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,395 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 20h | trx12 fills | October 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,994 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 20h | trader-05ddbe2e2 fills | October 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,426 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 20h | urhfrhchj123123 | October 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $37,418 | +$56 +0.2% | 4 |
| 20h |  Relaccsed | October 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,050 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 21h | notawinner99 | October 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,500 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 21h | bondor2 fills | October 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $141,742 | +$106 +0.1% | 4 |
| 21h |  kinderSman | October 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,990 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 21h | 0xff1e352d5310eab17d1e9fd7e00ec33f16c05e23 fills | October 31 | BuyYes99¢ → >99¢ | $10,502 | +$100 +1.0% | 4 |
| 1d |  suraxy | October 31 | SellYes97¢ → >99¢ | $1,937 | −$62 −3.2% | — |
| 1d | 0xff1e352d5310eab17d1e9fd7e00ec33f16c05e2 | October 31 | SellYes99¢ → >99¢ | $2,669 | −$30 −1.1% | — |
| 1d | Ikokoko | October 31 | SellYes99¢ → >99¢ | $8,780 | −$103 −1.2% | — |
| 1d |  NiceDuckBro | October 31 | SellYes99¢ → >99¢ | $1,986 | −$13 −0.7% | — |
| 1d |  JJo | October 31 | BuyYes99¢ → >99¢ | $2,853 | +$21 +0.7% | 4 |
| 1d |  SmallFishInWhaleStomach8 fills | October 31 | BuyYes99¢ → >99¢ | $76,306 | +$711 +0.9% | 4 |
| 1d |  arjennnnn2 fills | October 31 | BuyYes98¢ → >99¢ | $2,767 | +$58 +2.1% | 4 |
| 1d | Car | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,284 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 1d | Car | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,929 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 |
| 1d | Car | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 15, 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,907 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 1d | SleeperHunter | October 31 | BuyYes99¢ → >99¢ | $7,126 | +$85 +1.2% | 4 |
| 1d |  themagicofcinema3 fills | October 31 | SellYes99¢ → >99¢ | $5,122 | −$72 −1.4% | — |
| 1d | kukubaja | October 31 | BuyYes99¢ → >99¢ | $1,130 | +$11 +1.0% | 4 |
| 1d |  SubashChandraBose | October 31 | SellYes97¢ → >99¢ | $4,007 | −$118 −2.9% | — |
| 1d | mianbaoxiaoziuma | October 31 | SellYes98¢ → >99¢ | $4,909 | −$88 −1.8% | — |
| 1d | meiyitinghuouma | October 31 | SellYes98¢ → >99¢ | $2,927 | −$71 −2.4% | — |
| 1d | laolumanjuuma | October 31 | SellYes98¢ → >99¢ | $4,903 | −$95 −1.9% | — |
| 1d |  scorned | October 31 | SellYes98¢ → >99¢ | $1,174 | −$26 −2.2% | — |
| 1d |  smellyEllie | October 31 | SellYes98¢ → >99¢ | $2,544 | −$55 −2.2% | — |
| 1d |  tsybka20 fills | October 31 | BuyYes91¢ → >99¢ | $70,113 | +$6,746 +9.6% | 5 |
| 1d | themagicofcinema2 fills | October 31 | BuyYes97¢ → >99¢ | $3,786 | +$118 +3.1% | 4 |
| 1d | laolumanjuuma | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,746 | +$11 +0.3% | 4 |
| 1d | mianbaoxiaoziuma | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,728 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 1d | meiyitinghuouma | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,252 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 1d | mianbaoxiaoziuma | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,042 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 1d | laolumanjuuma | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,048 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 1d | meiyitinghuouma | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,429 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 1d | laolumanjuuma | October 31 | BuyYes98¢ → >99¢ | $4,889 | +$109 +2.2% | 4 |
| 1d | meiyitinghuouma | October 31 | BuyYes97¢ → >99¢ | $2,908 | +$91 +3.1% | 4 |
| 1d |  Istaroth | October 31 | BuyYes99¢ → >99¢ | $1,662 | +$21 +1.2% | 4 |
| 1d | hfv2 fills | October 31 | BuyYes99¢ → >99¢ | $4,585 | +$66 +1.4% | 4 |
| 1d | mianbaoxiaoziuma | October 31 | BuyYes98¢ → >99¢ | $4,900 | +$98 +2.0% | 4 |
| 1d | controls | October 31 | BuyYes97¢ → >99¢ | $2,000 | +$69 +3.5% | 4 |
| 1d | laureman | October 31 | BuyYes96¢ → >99¢ | $2,877 | +$110 +3.8% | 4 |
| 1d | 881112 | October 31 | SellYes95¢ → >99¢ | $1,869 | −$92 −4.9% | — |
| 1d | Madsolbro | October 31 | BuyYes97¢ → >99¢ | $4,798 | +$154 +3.2% | 4 |
| 1d |  Cattail | October 31 | SellYes94¢ → >99¢ | $3,710 | −$256 −6.9% | — |
| 1d | NiceDuckBro | October 31 | BuyYes97¢ → >99¢ | $3,050 | +$80 +2.6% | 4 |
| 1d | 0x469a…142d2 fills | October 31 | BuyYes84¢ → >99¢ | $2,800 | +$539 +19% | 4 |
| 1d | tsybka | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,428 | +$31 +2.2% | 5 |
| 1d | Selfish-Scratch2 fills | October 31 | BuyYes61¢ → >99¢ | $4,357 | +$2,732 +63% | 4 |
| 1d | trx13 fills | October 31 | BuyNo51¢ → <1¢ | $5,275 | −$5,269 −100% | 4 |
| 1d | Youthful-Dancing-BossNew account | October 31 | BuyNo43¢ → <1¢ | $1,000 | −$999 −100% | 19 |
Car145,547 sharesSmallFishInWhaleStomach92,169 sharesSnow-White53,384 sharestetrase51,248 shares
Ahpo50,000 shareskinderSman24,503 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: >99¢ for October 31 means the market gives it about >99%.