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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 708d | Ereviz.eth | Ryan Selkis arrested in 2024? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,936 | +$82 +2.8% | 2 |
| 768d | commeowder | Ryan Selkis arrested in 2024? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,427 | +$202 +8.3% | 2 |
On June 17, Ryan Selkis posted a tweet suggesting that Garry Gensler ordered a political hit on him (see: https://x.com/twobitidiot/status/1802719512241770625). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ryan Selkis (@twobitidiot) is arrested between June 16 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. However, official information from the government involved in any action against Ryan Selkis and information from Selkis's legal representatives will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.