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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 31 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 22 | 0% | −1 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 144d | Dafu0715 | June 30 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,529 | −$22 −1.4% | — |
| 145d | Dafu0715 | June 30 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,155 | +$70 +3.3% | 20 |
| 146d | Laurenman | June 30 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,254 | +$66 +5.3% | 20 |
| 146d | okcoolstorybro | May 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,057 | +$11 +0.1% | 20 |
| 152d | Dafu07153 fills | May 31 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,055 | +$114 +1.6% | 20 |
| 153d | Dafu0715 | May 31 | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,392 | −$90 −6.4% | — |
| 153d |  PredictionYogi | May 22 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,092 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
yesworld286,487 shares
Lavincey150 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Saudi Arabia officially announces that U.S. military aircraft are not permitted to use its airspace or land in its territory, or announces that U.S. military aircraft are not allowed to use certain military bases within Saudi Arabia, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A restriction applying only to a subset of U.S. military aircraft, such as only aircraft involved in a specified U.S. military operation, will qualify. A qualifying restriction must be a standing policy; isolated instances of access denial will not count. A consensus of credible reporting that Saudi Arabia has implemented a qualifying restriction on U.S. military aircraft will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saudi Arabia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for June 30 means the market gives it about 0%.