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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish National Party | 100% | 0 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Scottish Labour | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Scottish Conservatives | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Scottish Green Party | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Scottish Liberal Democrats | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Reform UK | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alba Party | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sovereignty Party | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Party A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 168d |  Flipadelphia2 fills | Scottish National Party | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,651 | +$22 +0.2% | 10 |
| 169d | Flipadelphia | Reform UK | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,984 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 176d | Siziriv | Sovereignty Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,307 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 176d | Siziriv | Scottish Conservatives | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,307 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 176d | Siziriv | Reform UK | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,303 | +$7 +0.3% | 10 |
| 176d | Siziriv | Scottish Labour | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,307 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 176d | Siziriv | Scottish Liberal Democrats | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,307 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 176d | Siziriv | Scottish Green Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,307 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 176d | Siziriv | Alba Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,307 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 177d | Nobetfocus2 fills | Scottish National Party | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,060 | +$36 +0.9% | 10 |
| 179d |  probability2 fills | Scottish National Party | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,048 | −$91 −1.3% | — |
| 183d | TrangNgo | Scottish National Party | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,533 | +$19 +1.2% | 10 |
| 208d | Art-Canal | Scottish National Party | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,029 | −$50 −4.8% | — |
| 208d | Art-Canal | Scottish National Party | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,173 | +$57 +4.8% | 10 |
| 208d | squirrelfh42 | Scottish National Party | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,293 | −$71 −5.5% | — |
| 208d | sayen41 | Scottish National Party | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,204 | +$75 +6.3% | 10 |
| 208d | squirrelfh42 | Scottish National Party | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,284 | +$81 +6.3% | 10 |
| 208d | satoshiFrequent | Scottish National Party | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,323 | +$65 +4.9% | 10 |
| 208d | Statelab | Scottish National Party | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,042 | +$71 +6.8% | 10 |
| 208d | couch737 | Scottish National Party | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,150 | −$33 −2.9% | — |
| 208d | Turkeyelectric | Scottish National Party | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,223 | +$38 +3.1% | 10 |
| 208d | Arguebroom | Scottish National Party | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,060 | +$33 +3.1% | 10 |
| 208d | settle.clump.liberty | Scottish National Party | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,235 | −$38 −3.1% | — |
| 208d | ridge-keen | Scottish National Party | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,155 | −$33 −2.9% | — |
| 209d | text1043 | Scottish National Party | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,302 | −$43 −3.3% | — |
| 209d | text1043 | Scottish National Party | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,302 | +$43 +3.3% | 10 |
| 209d | mouseFancy | Scottish National Party | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,146 | −$40 −3.5% | — |
| 209d | mouseFancy | Scottish National Party | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,148 | +$40 +3.5% | 10 |
| 209d | Shy-Indicate | Scottish National Party | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,205 | +$54 +4.5% | 10 |
| 209d | spray-endless-enjoy | Scottish National Party | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | +$49 +4.5% | 10 |
| 209d | holiday-abandon | Scottish National Party | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,248 | −$41 −3.3% | — |
| 209d | bubble070 | Scottish National Party | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,023 | +$38 +3.7% | 10 |
| 209d | manzn45 | Scottish National Party | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$45 +3.7% | 10 |
| 209d | studentSkate | Scottish National Party | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,162 | +$41 +3.5% | 10 |
| 209d | grassku46 | Scottish National Party | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,115 | +$54 +4.8% | 10 |
| 209d | move-imitate-proud | Scottish National Party | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,376 | −$57 −4.2% | — |
| 209d | cinnamon603 | Scottish National Party | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,055 | −$44 −4.2% | — |
| 209d | educatenu35 | Scottish National Party | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,072 | −$45 −4.2% | — |
| 209d | towardet48 | Scottish National Party | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,387 | +$47 +3.4% | 10 |
| 209d | soldierCrack | Scottish National Party | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,232 | −$43 −3.5% | — |
| 209d | focus-present-organ | Scottish National Party | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,566 | −$72 −4.6% | — |
| 209d | feebf39 | Scottish National Party | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,595 | −$73 −4.6% | — |
| 209d | focus-present-organ | Scottish National Party | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,566 | +$72 +4.6% | 10 |
| 209d | feebf39 | Scottish National Party | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,595 | +$73 +4.6% | 10 |
| 209d | Quiz90 | Scottish National Party | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,223 | +$56 +4.6% | 10 |
| 209d | Stampzz91 | Scottish National Party | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,148 | −$48 −4.2% | — |
| 209d | daringhi91 | Scottish National Party | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,013 | −$42 −4.2% | — |
| 209d | Stampzz91 | Scottish National Party | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,148 | +$48 +4.2% | 10 |
| 209d | daringhi91 | Scottish National Party | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,013 | +$42 +4.2% | 10 |
| 211d | scan-banana-embark | Scottish National Party | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,288 | +$43 +3.3% | 10 |
| 211d | sentenceMirror2 fills | Scottish National Party | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,160 | +$69 +3.2% | 10 |
| 211d | settle067 | Scottish National Party | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,062 | +$35 +3.3% | 10 |
| 211d | chapter-orbit | Scottish National Party | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,287 | +$43 +3.3% | 10 |
| 211d | Sport644 | Scottish National Party | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,180 | +$37 +3.1% | 10 |
| 211d | clap325 | Scottish National Party | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,105 | +$34 +3.1% | 10 |
| 211d | sentenceMirror | Scottish National Party | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,109 | −$34 −3.1% | — |
| 211d | memory.reduce.another | Scottish National Party | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,339 | −$41 −3.1% | — |
| 211d | ponyta422 fills | Scottish National Party | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,435 | +$75 +3.1% | 10 |
| 211d | unknownStock | Scottish National Party | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,115 | −$37 −3.3% | — |
| 211d | Rideyd61 | Scottish National Party | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,170 | −$39 −3.3% | — |
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Scotland on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Scottish Parliament in this election. If voting in the Scottish parliamentary election does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Welsh Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Welsh government, specifically the the Electoral Commission of Scotland (https://www.electoralcommission.org.uk/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Scottish National Party means the market gives it about 100%.