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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $200M | 0% | −8 pts | −37 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 70d |
| $100M | 100% | +72 pts | +31 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 70d |
| $1B | 0% | −3 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 70d |
| $400M | 0% | −3 pts | −23 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 70d |
| $800M | 0% | −2 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 70d |
| $50M | 100% | +39 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 70d |
| $600M | 0% | −1 pts | −19 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 70d |
| $150M | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 70d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 274d | signalbean | $150M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,981 | +$23 +0.6% | 2 |
| 274d |  isunou | $150M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,970 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 274d | suyizi | $150M | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,322 | +$33 +2.5% | 2 |
| 274d |  Burnmoneyuser | $150M | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,055 | +$203 +9.9% | 2 |
| 274d | ssssssssssdsd | $150M | SellYes54¢ → 0¢ | $1,391 | +$1,391 +100% | — |
| 274d | topsonrock | $800M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,399 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 274d | topsonrock | $600M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,583 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 274d | topsonrock | $400M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,167 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 274d | Ordon | $200M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,143 | +$7 +0.3% | 2 |
| 274d | Hans3232 fills | $200M | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,408 | +$20 +0.5% | 2 |
| 274d | isunou2 fills | $200M | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,274 | +$28 +0.3% | 2 |
| 274d | cripes32 fills | $200M | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,991 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 274d | isunou | $100M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,096 | +$11 +1.0% | 2 |
| 274d | Laurenman | $200M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,018 | +$15 +1.4% | 2 |
| 274d | thiswhyilosemoney | $100M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,410 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 274d |  ChoosePoverty | $100M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,574 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 274d | bean125 | $200M | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,879 | +$11 +0.2% | 2 |
| 274d |  elon2000 | $100M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,315 | +$13 +1.0% | 2 |
| 274d |  0xRacist | $100M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,396 | +$14 +1.0% | 2 |
| 274d |  Crypto8bit | $100M | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,000 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 274d | PainStealer | $200M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,210 | +$5 +0.4% | 2 |
| 274d | sportbetss | $200M | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,408 | −$14 −1.0% | — |
| 274d |  turbodi7el | $200M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$13 +1.0% | 2 |
| 274d | btacc | $200M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,224 | +$27 +1.2% | 2 |
| 274d | SunnySunday | $1B | SellNo>99¢ | $1,080 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 274d | yomayo | $1B | SellNo>99¢ | $2,634 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 274d | Burnmoneyuser2 fills | $50M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,851 | +$67 +1.4% | 2 |
| 274d | bluemarble | $200M | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,028 | −$89 −4.4% | — |
| 274d | Momolly | $50M | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,999 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 274d | sleepin | $50M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,447 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 274d | WTETH | $50M | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,114 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 274d | 1881aa | $100M | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,541 | −$81 −5.3% | — |
| 274d |  goalone | $400M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,721 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 274d | JAMTICH | $400M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,058 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 274d |  CluelessEyes3 fills | $400M | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,718 | +$14 +0.1% | 2 |
| 274d | bean1254 fills | $1B | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,691 | +$20 +0.2% | 2 |
| 274d |  Infringe | $100M | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $3,751 | +$421 +11% | 2 |
| 274d |  branson69 | $50M | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,380 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 274d |  YAMA111 | $600M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,652 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 274d |  TAMALIE | $600M | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,766 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 274d |  KRISSA69 | $50M | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,816 | +$8 +0.3% | 2 |
| 274d | stealer | $50M | BuyYes100¢ | $2,263 | +$11 +0.5% | 2 |
| 274d |  Totenkopf | $50M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,491 | +$9 +0.6% | 2 |
| 274d | Willys5 | $100M | SellYes82¢ → 100¢ | $1,130 | −$246 −22% | — |
| 274d |  arabsearch | $100M | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,167 | +$130 +11% | 2 |
| 274d | secondpoorest | $100M | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | +$120 +11% | 2 |
| 274d |  SpicyBrwny | $50M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,242 | +$8 +0.6% | 2 |
| 274d | SpicyBrwny | $800M | SellNo>99¢ | $2,362 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 275d | EricaXBT2 fills | $800M | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,194 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 275d | RITELION | $400M | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,444 | −$9 −0.6% | — |
| 275d | yiselie | $400M | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,466 | −$9 −0.6% | — |
| 275d | mimi2025uk | $600M | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,672 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 275d | topsonrock | $400M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,160 | +$8 +0.7% | 2 |
| 275d | cripes3 | $1B | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,052 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 275d |  camedy | $1B | SellNo>99¢ | $1,128 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 275d | birjesh | $800M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,369 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 275d |  bjbjs | $1B | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,094 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 275d | 71gwrty | $600M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,410 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 275d | hackisamaze | $1B | SellNo>99¢ | $1,430 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 275d | mimi2025uk | $800M | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,326 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
le0nn9,430 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Seeker's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Seeker (https://x.com/solanamobile) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for $200M means the market gives it about 0%.