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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.23-1.28 | 100% | +21 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <1.17 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1.17-1.22 | 0% | −23 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1.29-1.34 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1.35-1.40 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >1.40 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 727d | VvVv3 fills | 1.23-1.28 | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,986 | +$14 +0.1% | 4 |
| 727d |  Anjun2 fills | 1.23-1.28 | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,988 | +$12 +0.1% | 4 |
| 727d |  carp | 1.17-1.22 | SellNo>99¢ | $12,816 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 727d | dontshowmyname | 1.23-1.28 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 727d | Lizrael | 1.23-1.28 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,201 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 727d | VvVv | 1.17-1.22 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,973 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 727d |  AgricultureSecretary | 1.17-1.22 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,769 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 727d | Anjun4 fills | 1.17-1.22 | BuyNo>99¢ | $20,737 | +$63 +0.3% | 4 |
| 727d | 1mperator17 | 1.23-1.28 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 727d |  Dropper2 fills | 1.17-1.22 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $8,802 | +$405 +4.6% | 4 |
| 727d |  tsybka | 1.23-1.28 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,078 | +$18 +0.2% | 4 |
| 727d |  MEGABASED | 1.23-1.28 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,027 | −$6 −0.6% | — |
| 727d | Lowyrok2 fills | 1.23-1.28 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,845 | −$15 −0.5% | — |
| 727d | Impure-Venom2 fills | 1.23-1.28 | SellYes100¢ | $7,255 | −$36 −0.5% | — |
| 727d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly5 fills | >1.40 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $35,474 | +$308 +0.9% | 4 |
| 727d | carp | 1.17-1.22 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,782 | +$18 +0.2% | 4 |
| 727d | Dropper | 1.29-1.34 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,832 | +$19 +1.0% | 4 |
| 727d | carp | 1.23-1.28 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,475 | +$25 +1.0% | 4 |
| 727d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | <1.17 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,668 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 727d |  aenews29 fills | >1.40 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $107,729 | +$2,175 +2.0% | 4 |
| 727d | lasso | >1.40 | BuyNo>99¢ | $32,004 | +$97 +0.3% | 4 |
| 727d | junkbonds | >1.40 | BuyNo>99¢ | $57,087 | +$173 +0.3% | 4 |
| 728d |  CPU | 1.23-1.28 | SellYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,059 | −$178 −17% | — |
| 728d |  aebonds | >1.40 | BuyNo>99¢ | $44,091 | +$177 +0.4% | 4 |
| 728d | aenews23 fills | 1.35-1.40 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $40,587 | +$271 +0.7% | 4 |
| 729d |  scottilicious | >1.40 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,982 | +$18 +0.9% | 4 |
| 729d |  TimeQuestion | >1.40 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,198 | −$32 −1.0% | — |
| 730d |  mango-lassi | >1.40 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,331 | −$13 −1.0% | — |
| 731d |  gopfan2 | 1.29-1.34 | SellYes16¢ → 0¢ | $2,081 | +$2,081 +100% | — |
| 732d |  456ythgbvcadscvb | >1.40 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,141 | −$35 −3.1% | — |
| 732d | Impure-Venom | 1.29-1.34 | BuyNo62¢ → 100¢ | $1,659 | +$1,037 +63% | 4 |
| 732d |  pocahontasporker3 fills | >1.40 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $8,249 | +$251 +3.0% | 4 |
| 732d |  qsalz | <1.17 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,089 | +$3 +0.3% | 4 |
| 733d | trumpian | <1.17 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,067 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 736d | 2132132 | 1.23-1.28 | SellYes50¢ → 100¢ | $5,081 | −$5,083 −100% | — |
| 737d | 23131ww | 1.23-1.28 | BuyNo50¢ → 0¢ | $5,059 | −$5,059 −100% | 4 |
| 738d |  ButterBoyBilly | >1.40 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,571 | +$116 +4.5% | 4 |
| 742d | mango-lassi | >1.40 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,237 | +$168 +3.2% | 4 |
| 744d | Craigb7 | >1.40 | BuyYes5¢ → 0¢ | $2,582 | −$2,582 −100% | 11 |
| 746d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | 1.35-1.40 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $21,125 | +$432 +2.0% | 4 |
| 752d | Impure-Venom | 1.29-1.34 | SellYes40¢ → 0¢ | $1,363 | +$1,363 +100% | — |
| 753d | Impure-Venom | 1.29-1.34 | BuyYes32¢ → 0¢ | $1,456 | −$1,456 −100% | 5 |
| 755d | 456ythgbvcadscvb | >1.40 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,234 | +$48 +2.1% | 4 |
| 760d | gopfan2 | 1.17-1.22 | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $2,839 | +$743 +26% | 4 |
| 760d | gopfan2 | 1.29-1.34 | BuyYes23¢ → 0¢ | $1,086 | −$1,086 −100% | 4 |
| 762d | Kapii | 1.35-1.40 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,438 | +$142 +9.9% | 4 |
| 764d | Kapii | 1.29-1.34 | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,858 | +$451 +24% | 4 |
| 766d | MEGABASED | >1.40 | BuyYes21¢ → 0¢ | $1,600 | −$1,600 −100% | 7 |
| 767d | gopfan2 | <1.17 | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | +$200 +19% | 4 |
September 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 1.23-1.28 means the market gives it about 100%.