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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 852d | Shkreli x Barron Trump screenshots real? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,770 | +$73 +1.5% | 4 | |
| 854d | Shkreli x Barron Trump screenshots real? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,097 | −$58 −5.3% | — | |
| 855d | Shkreli x Barron Trump screenshots real? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,410 | +$90 +6.4% | 5 |
On June 20, Martin Shkreli posted screenshots of messages he claims are between himself and Barron Trump (see: https://x.com/MartinShkreli/status/1803824556827615721). This market will resolve to "Yes" if conclusive evidence emerges that the screenshot of messages Shkreli posted are actually from Barron Trump by June 23, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Note: Unofficial statements made by acquaintances of the Trump Family (such as a friend of Barron Trump) will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be public statements directly from Barron or Donald Trump, or definitive evidence that the screenshots are real.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.