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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alireza Firouzja | 100% | +5 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fabiano Caruana | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ian Nepomniachtchi | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Nodirbek Abdusattorov | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Wesley So | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Maxime Vachier-Lagrave | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 2¢ | — | ended |
| Anish Giri | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gukesh Dommaraju | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ding Liren | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 786d | Barren-Limb | Alireza Firouzja | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,039 | −$21 −0.7% | — |
| 786d | Barren-Limb | Alireza Firouzja | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,999 | +$62 +2.1% | 5 |
| 787d | terminalline - 20450 | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,445 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 788d |  Evoli | Wesley So | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,309 | +$13 +1.0% | 4 |
| 790d | 0xfe91…70ff | Alireza Firouzja | BuyYes39¢ → 100¢ | $1,232 | +$1,927 +156% | 6 |
| 793d | 0xfe91…70ff2 fills | Maxime Vachier-Lagrave | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $4,643 | +$653 +14% | 4 |
| 793d | 0xfe91…70ff | Fabiano Caruana | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $2,428 | +$569 +23% | 4 |
Sinquefield Cup 2024 Winner
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Alireza Firouzja means the market gives it about 100%.