Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $21-24m | 100% | +2 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <$21m | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $24-27m | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >$27m | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 731d |  LinaBell | $21-24m | SellYes>99¢ | $1,624 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 732d |  aenews22 fills | $21-24m | SellYes>99¢ | $51,134 | −$51 −0.1% | — |
| 732d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | $21-24m | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,553 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 732d | JustHereWaiting | $21-24m | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,268 | +$27 +0.6% | 4 |
| 732d |  qsalz | <$21m | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,309 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
| 732d |  DramaQueen89 | $21-24m | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,608 | −$107 −4.1% | — |
| 732d | LFC8 | <$21m | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,272 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 732d | aviato | $21-24m | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,407 | +$48 +2.0% | 5 |
| 732d | aviato | <$21m | SellNo>99¢ | $2,448 | −$7 −0.3% | — |
| 732d | LinaBell | $21-24m | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,012 | +$19 +1.8% | 4 |
| 733d | MaxTheMax2 fills | $24-27m | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,619 | +$92 +2.5% | 5 |
| 733d | MaxTheMax | $21-24m | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,802 | +$98 +3.5% | 5 |
| 733d |  enderone | $21-24m | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,067 | +$44 +4.2% | 5 |
| 733d | enderone | $24-27m | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,067 | +$44 +4.2% | 5 |
| 733d | jinsun... | <$21m | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,256 | +$20 +0.9% | 4 |
| 733d | enderone2 fills | >$27m | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,604 | −$144 −1.9% | — |
| 733d | imniglis1 | $24-27m | BuyYes26¢ → 0¢ | $1,039 | −$1,039 −100% | 9 |
| 733d | aenews23 fills | >$27m | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $18,478 | +$129 +0.7% | 4 |
| 733d | aenews2 | $21-24m | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $3,923 | +$1,254 +32% | 8 |
| 734d | aenews2 | <$21m | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $22,933 | +$249 +1.1% | 4 |
| 734d | jinsun...3 fills | >$27m | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $9,423 | +$169 +1.8% | 4 |
| 734d | aviato2 fills | <$21m | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,048 | +$62 +2.0% | 4 |
| 734d | enderone3 fills | >$27m | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $6,400 | +$284 +4.4% | 5 |
| 734d | aviato | >$27m | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,937 | +$63 +2.1% | 4 |
| 734d | DramaQueen89 | <$21m | SellNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,503 | −$497 −33% | — |
| 735d | DramaQueen89 | <$21m | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $2,243 | +$495 +22% | 7 |
| 735d |  Wickier | >$27m | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,776 | +$71 +2.6% | 4 |
This is a negrisk market group over the opening weekend box office figures for 'Smile 2'.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $21-24m means the market gives it about 100%.