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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 122d | Paul973973 | SpaceX IPO: Officially added to Nasdaq-100 in 2026? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,600 | +$21 +0.8% | 20 |
Lavincey99 sharesThe Nasdaq-100 undergoes annual reconstitution in December. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.