Polymarket · OtherClosed

Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by...?

Most traded: ...February 28, 2022?<1%
24h volume: $0
Total volume: $169K
Outcomes: 4
Ends: Feb 28, 2022

Odds over time

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Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Bid · Ask	24h volume	Ends
...February 28, 2022?	<1%	0¢ · 100¢ (100¢)	$0	ended
...September 30, 2022?	<1%	0¢ · 100¢ (100¢)	$0	ended
...December 31, 2022?	<1%	0¢ · 100¢ (100¢)	$0	ended
...June 30, 2022?	<1%	0¢ · 100¢ (100¢)	$0	ended

Whale trades

$1,000 and up · latest

No trades of $1,000 or more lately.

How this market settles

This is a market on when SpaceX will successfully complete a launch of the next Starship intended to reach outer space, currently dubbed "SN20".

Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: <1¢ for ...February 28, 2022? means the market gives it about <1%.

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