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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +10 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 702d |  Mrmarket334 | SpaceX Starship launch today? | SellYes>99¢ | $3,548 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 702d | Freddrake15 | SpaceX Starship launch today? | SellYes>99¢ | $5,399 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 702d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | SpaceX Starship launch today? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,668 | +$9 +0.2% | 20 |
| 702d |  LlamaEnjoyer | SpaceX Starship launch today? | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,375 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 702d | yuv1410 | SpaceX Starship launch today? | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,288 | +$13 +0.1% | 20 |
| 702d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | SpaceX Starship launch today? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,117 | +$151 +1.5% | 20 |
| 702d | Mrmarket334 | SpaceX Starship launch today? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$38 +1.5% | 20 |
| 702d | Freddrake152 fills | SpaceX Starship launch today? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,333 | +$71 +1.3% | 20 |
| 702d | m59 | SpaceX Starship launch today? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,198 | +$38 +3.2% | 20 |
| 702d | Acidic-Safeguard | SpaceX Starship launch today? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$104 +4.2% | 21 |
| 702d | Sirius109 | SpaceX Starship launch today? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$86 +4.3% | 20 |
| 703d | Fractality2 fills | SpaceX Starship launch today? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $9,698 | +$365 +3.8% | 20 |
| 703d | Alistairgrayson2 fills | SpaceX Starship launch today? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,423 | +$138 +5.7% | 22 |
| 703d | ChainsawVasectomy | SpaceX Starship launch today? | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,158 | +$115 +9.9% | 23 |
| 703d | erci | SpaceX Starship launch today? | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $3,581 | +$423 +12% | 23 |
If any SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launchpad on November 19, 2024, ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.