Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +9 pts | +11 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 343d | Illo2 fills | Speed Chess QF: Carlsen vs Caruana | BuyCarlsen97¢ → 100¢ | $4,135 | +$131 +3.2% | 4 |
| 343d | JoFilo | Speed Chess QF: Carlsen vs Caruana | BuyCarlsen>99¢ | $4,899 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 343d |  formernorrisfan2 fills | Speed Chess QF: Carlsen vs Caruana | BuyCarlsen>99¢ | $7,252 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
The 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship is currently scheduled to take place from October 13, 2025, to February 9, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Carlsen" if Magnus Carlsen wins against Fabiano Caruana in their 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship quarterfinal match. This market will resolve to "Caruana" if Fabiano Caruana wins against Magnus Carlsen in their 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship quarterfinal match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Chess.com, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used in case of discrepancies. If the winner is not announced by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.