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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | 100% | +30 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 50-59 | 0% | −7 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 60-69 | 0% | +44 pts | 0 pts | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| 70-79 | 0% | −5 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80-89 | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · 3¢ | — | ended |
| 90-99 | 0% | +47 pts | 0 pts | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| 100+ | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · 3¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 793d | 0xac8db3b4afea21b73ffdc92fjk | <50 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,071 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 793d | 0xac8db3b4afea21b73ffdc92fjk2 fills | 100+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,418 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 793d |  Parz1vaI | <50 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,321 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 793d |  MLBksRETARD | <50 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,108 | +$92 +1.0% | 4 |
This is a market on predicting the number of Minecraft deaths Speed/Kai by the end of their challenge.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for <50 means the market gives it about 100%.