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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −45 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 7? | SellDown>99¢ | $5,613 | −$6 −0.1% | — | |
| 200d | Rapid-Climate | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 7? | SellDown>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 200d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 7? | SellDown>99¢ | $3,759 | −$4 −0.1% | — | |
| 200d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 7? | SellDown74¢ → 100¢ | $18,160 | −$6,339 −35% | — | |
| 200d | 0x4207c4f53b785c6dOd48512a497ebd845c29b81b | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 7? | BuyDown>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 200d | xenonliu2 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 7? | BuyDown>99¢ | $16,641 | +$17 +0.1% | 4 |
| 200d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 7? | BuyDown77¢ → 100¢ | $29,708 | +$8,911 +30% | 10 | |
| 200d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 7? | BuyDown>99¢ | $8,288 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 200d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 7? | BuyDown>99¢ | $5,994 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 200d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 7? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,367 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 200d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 7? | BuyDown>99¢ | $21,233 | +$86 +0.4% | 4 | |
| 200d | Spotted-Bed | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 7? | SellDown100¢ | $1,354 | −$7 −0.5% | — |
| 200d | DegenEriccro | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 7? | BuyDown>99¢ | $2,291 | +$9 +0.4% | 4 |
| 200d | amon2b | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 7? | SellDown95¢ → 100¢ | $1,504 | −$85 −5.7% | — |
| 200d | Unfolded-KeeperNew account | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 7? | BuyDown96¢ → 100¢ | $2,497 | +$99 +4.0% | 5 |
| 200d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 7? | BuyDown93¢ → 100¢ | $3,506 | +$256 +7.3% | 6 | |
| 200d | joecai | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 7? | BuyDown79¢ → 100¢ | $1,460 | +$388 +27% | 10 |
| 200d | amon2b | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 7? | BuyDown85¢ → 100¢ | $1,348 | +$241 +18% | 8 |
| 200d | cryptothan3 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 7? | BuyDown51¢ → 100¢ | $7,364 | +$6,999 +95% | 12 |
| 200d | cryptothan2 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 7? | BuyUp31¢ → 0¢ | $9,804 | −$9,804 −100% | 20 |
| 200d | cryptothan | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 7? | SellUp44¢ → 0¢ | $1,317 | +$1,317 +100% | — |
| 200d | Hexagon5553 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 7? | BuyDown65¢ → 100¢ | $3,701 | +$1,953 +53% | 12 |
| 200d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 7? | SellDown67¢ → 100¢ | $2,269 | −$1,114 −49% | — | |
| 200d | Whytepyro | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 7? | BuyDown71¢ → 100¢ | $1,413 | +$567 +40% | 12 |
| 200d | sdhyky2 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 7? | SellDown74¢ → 100¢ | $4,752 | −$1,711 −36% | — |
| 200d | sdhyky | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 7? | BuyDown76¢ → 100¢ | $2,366 | +$747 +32% | 10 |
| 200d | Hexagon555 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 7? | SellDown71¢ → 100¢ | $2,497 | −$1,020 −41% | — |
| 200d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 7? | BuyDown48¢ → 100¢ | $2,433 | +$2,648 +109% | 12 | |
| 200d | Hexagon555 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 7? | SellUp57¢ → 0¢ | $2,189 | +$2,189 +100% | — |
| 200d | Hexagon555 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 7? | BuyUp51¢ → 0¢ | $1,946 | −$1,946 −100% | 12 |
| 200d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 7? | BuyUp50¢ → 0¢ | $1,096 | −$1,096 −100% | 12 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on April 7 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on April 7 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official open/close price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If the previous trading day has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Open/Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.