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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −59 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 246d | RME123 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 19? | SellDown>99¢ | $2,204 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 246d | reuben-11 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 19? | SellDown>99¢ | $3,244 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 246d | wabawhje | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 19? | SellDown>99¢ | $6,764 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 246d | xenonliu2 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 19? | BuyDown>99¢ | $6,795 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 246d |  OraculumNobius3 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 19? | BuyDown>99¢ | $9,985 | +$15 +0.2% | 4 |
| 246d | reuben-11 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 19? | BuyDown>99¢ | $3,141 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
| 246d | 0xe617…f2515 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 19? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $14,000 | +$236 +1.7% | 4 |
| 246d | harrypotterr | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 19? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $1,183 | +$10 +0.8% | 4 |
| 246d |  Waterfall | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 19? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $2,139 | +$22 +1.0% | 4 |
| 246d | making-alot-money | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 19? | SellDown98¢ → 100¢ | $1,182 | −$23 −1.9% | — |
| 246d | DegenEriccro | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 19? | BuyDown92¢ → 100¢ | $2,505 | +$218 +8.7% | 6 |
| 246d | N3D1 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 19? | BuyDown78¢ → 100¢ | $1,466 | +$414 +28% | 10 |
| 246d | sdhyky2 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 19? | BuyDown76¢ → 100¢ | $2,158 | +$676 +31% | 10 |
| 246d | wabawhje | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 19? | BuyDown81¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$1,137 +23% | 9 |
| 246d |  hotflamingo | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 19? | SellUp27¢ → 0¢ | $1,301 | +$1,301 +100% | — |
| 246d | nbab | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 19? | SellDown53¢ → 100¢ | $1,309 | −$1,160 −89% | — |
| 246d | nbab | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 19? | BuyDown40¢ → 100¢ | $1,238 | +$1,857 +150% | 12 |
| 246d | sdhyky | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 19? | BuyUp70¢ → 0¢ | $1,164 | −$1,164 −100% | 12 |
thanksforyourmoneyG12,952 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on February 19 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on February 19 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official open/close price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If the previous trading day has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Open/Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.