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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +33 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 262d | 9CDD | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3? | SellUp>99¢ | $4,245 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 262d | RME123 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,127 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 262d | 527-505 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,209 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 263d | Xgs2 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3? | SellUp>99¢ | $5,157 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 263d | jc222 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,539 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 263d | 0x9c13…ed01 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,874 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 263d | DegenEriccro | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,652 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 263d | sdhyky | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 263d | oipjgcxrf | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3? | BuyUp>99¢ | $11,658 | +$12 +0.1% | 4 |
| 263d |  NotMasterFan | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3? | BuyUp>99¢ | $2,673 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 263d | sdhyky | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,992 | +$8 +0.4% | 4 |
| 263d |  BettingQuant | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $1,442 | +$51 +3.5% | 5 |
| 263d | Xgs2 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $4,216 | +$61 +1.5% | 4 |
| 263d | Unrealistic-ServalNew account | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $1,499 | +$48 +3.2% | 6 |
| 263d | T1canwin2 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3? | BuyUp94¢ → 100¢ | $3,837 | +$260 +6.8% | 6 |
| 263d |  ComingBack | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3? | BuyUp92¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$96 +8.8% | 6 |
| 263d | spaceBob4 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3? | BuyUp87¢ → 100¢ | $1,600 | +$244 +15% | 8 |
| 263d | jc222 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3? | BuyUp78¢ → 100¢ | $1,203 | +$338 +28% | 10 |
| 263d | Another-Allowance | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3? | BuyUp50¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,000 +100% | 12 |
Snow-White1,150 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on February 3 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on February 3 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official open/close price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If the previous trading day has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Open/Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.