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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −73 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 256d | RME123 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9? | SellDown>99¢ | $2,144 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 256d | Fuzzy-Peace | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,584 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 256d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9? | SellDown>99¢ | $2,637 | −$3 −0.1% | — | |
| 256d | generalVR | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9? | BuyDown>99¢ | $5,724 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 256d | nbab3 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9? | SellDown90¢ → 100¢ | $3,939 | −$460 −12% | — |
| 256d | xenonliu | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9? | BuyDown>99¢ | $3,316 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 |
| 256d | ligmaaaaa2 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $10,796 | +$120 +1.1% | 4 |
| 256d | Melody-L | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9? | BuyDown96¢ → 100¢ | $1,929 | +$71 +3.7% | 5 |
| 256d | sdhyky | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9? | BuyDown74¢ → 100¢ | $1,078 | +$383 +35% | 11 |
| 256d | T1canwin2 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9? | BuyUp73¢ → 0¢ | $4,326 | −$4,326 −100% | 11 |
| 256d | cryptothan | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9? | SellDown61¢ → 100¢ | $2,187 | −$1,378 −63% | — |
| 256d | cctzz | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9? | BuyUp36¢ → 0¢ | $1,102 | −$1,102 −100% | 12 |
| 256d | T1canwin | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9? | BuyDown89¢ → 100¢ | $6,000 | +$741 +12% | 7 |
| 256d | T1canwin | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9? | SellUp30¢ → 0¢ | $1,343 | +$1,343 +100% | — |
| 256d | nbab3 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9? | BuyDown44¢ → 100¢ | $5,999 | +$7,617 +127% | 14 |
| 256d | tphhh | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9? | SellDown35¢ → 100¢ | $1,775 | −$3,287 −185% | — |
| 256d | harrypotterr | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9? | SellDown35¢ → 100¢ | $1,499 | −$2,783 −186% | — |
| 256d | ligmaaaaa | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9? | BuyUp65¢ → 0¢ | $1,300 | −$1,300 −100% | 12 |
| 257d | sdhyky | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9? | BuyUp65¢ → 0¢ | $1,128 | −$1,128 −100% | 12 |
| 257d | GetLayerZeroed | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9? | SellDown47¢ → 100¢ | $7,050 | −$7,950 −113% | — |
| 257d | allen1142 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9? | BuyUp52¢ → 0¢ | $15,056 | −$15,056 −100% | 9 |
| 257d | 9CDD | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9? | BuyUp51¢ → 0¢ | $1,530 | −$1,530 −100% | 9 |
| 257d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9? | SellDown49¢ → 100¢ | $1,225 | −$1,275 −104% | — | |
| 257d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9? | BuyDown50¢ → 100¢ | $1,250 | +$1,250 +100% | 9 | |
| 257d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9? | SellUp50¢ → 0¢ | $1,206 | +$1,206 +100% | — | |
| 257d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9? | SellDown49¢ → 100¢ | $1,181 | −$1,230 −104% | — | |
| 257d | polytaki | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9? | SellDown49¢ → 100¢ | $1,921 | −$1,999 −104% | — |
| 258d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9? | BuyDown50¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$1,500 +100% | 9 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on February 9 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on February 9 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official open/close price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If the previous trading day has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Open/Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.