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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 227d | tbjmx777 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,241 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 227d | jaysive | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,333 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 227d | SuperbowlorBust | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10? | BuyUp>99¢ | $28,007 | +$28 +0.1% | 4 |
| 227d | 0xc4ca…3df3 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,110 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 227d | cryptothan2 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10? | BuyUp75¢ → 100¢ | $3,719 | +$1,250 +34% | 11 |
| 227d | Nifteguy2 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10? | BuyUp>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 227d | vvvix2 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10? | BuyUp>99¢ | $18,310 | +$18 +0.1% | 4 |
| 227d | vsaujla | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,105 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 227d |  largeleeks8887 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10? | BuyUp>99¢ | $25,410 | +$87 +0.3% | 4 |
| 227d | sdhyky3 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10? | BuyUp63¢ → 100¢ | $10,497 | +$6,202 +59% | 12 |
| 227d | Whole-Bunch | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,517 | −$6 −0.4% | — |
| 227d | vivonzulul | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,573 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 227d | olabandola | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,101 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 227d | eme10 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,095 | −$5 −0.5% | — |
| 227d | Sin3000 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,526 | +$6 +0.4% | 4 |
| 227d | xenonliu4 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10? | BuyUp>99¢ | $24,459 | +$77 +0.3% | 4 |
| 227d | Zigzag-Skullduggery | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,174 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 227d |  NotMasterFan | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10? | BuyUp>99¢ | $2,988 | +$12 +0.4% | 4 |
| 227d |  d1k21 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10? | BuyUp>99¢ | $12,458 | +$38 +0.3% | 4 |
| 227d |  residual | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $2,480 | −$2,480 −100% | 12 |
| 227d |  haerder | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10? | BuyUp37¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$1,841 +167% | 12 |
| 227d | xenonliu | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10? | BuyDown>99¢ → 0¢ | $8,000 | −$8,000 −100% | 4 |
| 227d | ManCangGangGanDaDanGan | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10? | BuyDown98¢ → 0¢ | $2,631 | −$2,631 −100% | 5 |
| 227d | 0xe617…f25111 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10? | BuyDown99¢ → 0¢ | $60,000 | −$60,000 −100% | 4 |
| 227d |  ComingBack | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10? | BuyDown96¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 5 |
| 227d | sdhyky4 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10? | BuyDown60¢ → 0¢ | $4,959 | −$4,959 −100% | 12 |
| 227d | 0xe617…f251 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10? | BuyUp87¢ → 100¢ | $7,000 | +$1,062 +15% | 8 |
| 227d | Fakehomelander | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10? | BuyUp88¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | +$143 +14% | 7 |
| 227d | cryptothan | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10? | BuyDown52¢ → 0¢ | $1,234 | −$1,234 −100% | 12 |
| 227d | sdhyky3 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10? | SellDown58¢ → 0¢ | $6,578 | +$6,578 +100% | — |
Kaicer13,560 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on March 10 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on March 10 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official open/close price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If the previous trading day has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Open/Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.