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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 233d | FlyingPlaty | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 3? | BuyDown>99¢ | $3,482 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 233d |  OraculumNobius | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 3? | SellDown>99¢ | $5,352 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 234d | GCNO1 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 3? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,734 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 234d | Sarcastic-Drapes | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 3? | SellDown>99¢ | $2,211 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 234d | PRO.phet | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 3? | SellDown>99¢ | $2,125 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 234d | Sweaty-Detective | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 3? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,069 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 234d | reuben-11 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 3? | SellDown>99¢ | $2,559 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 234d |  Gurupolimarket3 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 3? | BuyDown>99¢ | $13,311 | +$22 +0.2% | 4 |
| 234d |  VdeVolsa | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 3? | SellDown>99¢ | $6,714 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 234d | ExDeus2 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 3? | BuyDown>99¢ | $3,741 | +$14 +0.4% | 4 |
| 234d | olabandola | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 3? | BuyDown>99¢ | $3,465 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 234d | VdeVolsa | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 3? | BuyDown>99¢ | $6,629 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 234d |  largeleeks8885 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 3? | BuyDown>99¢ | $55,831 | +$78 +0.1% | 4 |
| 234d | OraculumNobius | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 3? | BuyDown>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 234d |  FishMan2 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 3? | BuyDown>99¢ | $2,584 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 234d |  SpikePrintf | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 3? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,482 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 234d | AZwater | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 3? | BuyDown>99¢ | $9,980 | +$20 +0.2% | 4 |
| 234d | DegenEriccro | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 3? | BuyDown>99¢ | $2,495 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 234d | reuben-11 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 3? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,608 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 234d | 0xe617…f2519 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 3? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $60,500 | +$1,314 +2.2% | 5 |
| 234d | sdhyky3 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 3? | BuyDown79¢ → 100¢ | $6,312 | +$1,688 +27% | 10 |
| 234d | 0x9c13…ed01 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 3? | SellDown100¢ | $1,438 | −$7 −0.5% | — |
| 234d | Adventurous-AnalysisNew account | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 3? | BuyUp2¢ → 0¢ | $1,058 | −$1,058 −100% | 27 |
| 234d | Majoneza | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 3? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $1,210 | +$7 +0.6% | 4 |
| 234d | PRO.phet | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 3? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $2,162 | +$16 +0.7% | 4 |
| 234d | ZINGF | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 3? | BuyDown96¢ → 100¢ | $1,083 | +$45 +4.2% | 5 |
| 234d | sdhyky2 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 3? | SellDown72¢ → 100¢ | $3,252 | −$1,292 −40% | — |
| 234d | Sarcastic-Drapes | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 3? | BuyDown75¢ → 100¢ | $1,659 | +$554 +33% | 11 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on March 3 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on March 3 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official open/close price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If the previous trading day has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Open/Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.