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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −39 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 164d | e25247f2da2a2462f03c936c379b7ab0 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11? | SellDown>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 164d | NotRoaringKittyJR | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,283 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 165d | 7777xexexe | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11? | SellDown>99¢ | $2,863 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 165d | Incognitoo | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,915 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 165d | twerk4hv | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,374 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 165d | xenonliu | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,399 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 165d |  NotMasterFan | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11? | BuyDown>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 165d |  Jebury-Dracula | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,159 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 165d |  CoinTrick | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11? | BuyDown>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 165d | koinobu | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,771 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 165d | GROUPJETSOLUTIONSS.R.O. | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11? | SellDown98¢ → 100¢ | $1,180 | −$30 −2.6% | — |
| 165d |  TheRealestJOE | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11? | BuyDown>99¢ | $3,992 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 165d | twerk4hv | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $1,248 | +$13 +1.0% | 4 |
| 165d | e25247f2da2a2462f03c936c379b7ab0 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $8,912 | +$99 +1.1% | 4 |
| 165d |  1kto1m | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11? | BuyDown95¢ → 100¢ | $1,421 | +$75 +5.3% | 5 |
| 165d | Incognitoo | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11? | BuyDown95¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$63 +5.3% | 5 |
83.btc18,284 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on May 11 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on May 11 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official open/close price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If the previous trading day has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Open/Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.