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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49d | koinobu | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 4? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,662 | +$5 +0.3% | 4 |
| 49d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 4? | BuyUp86¢ → 100¢ | $8,622 | +$1,378 +16% | 8 | |
| 49d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 4? | BuyUp>99¢ | $2,994 | +$9 +0.3% | 4 | |
| 49d | jajsnsksk | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 4? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$12 +1.1% | 4 |
| 49d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 4? | BuyDown100¢ → 0¢ | $1,838 | −$1,838 −100% | 4 | |
| 49d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 4? | BuyDown100¢ → 0¢ | $2,404 | −$2,404 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on September 4 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on September 4 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official open/close price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If the previous trading day has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Open/Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.