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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $710 | 0% | −52 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $715 | 0% | −24 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $705 | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $730 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $695 | 100% | +19 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $725 | 0% | −38 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $700 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $680 | 100% | +12 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $720 | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $690 | 100% | +45 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $685 | 100% | +45 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 186d | $715 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,149 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 186d | $715 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,642 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 186d | 0xe6a1…d0e7 | $710 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,351 | +$14 +1.0% | 4 |
| 186d | $730 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,377 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 186d | twerk4hv | $705 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,404 | +$14 +1.0% | 4 |
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on April 20?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for $710 means the market gives it about 0%.