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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $715 | 100% | +62 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $720 | 0% | −20 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $710 | 100% | +61 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $705 | 100% | +32 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $735 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $700 | 100% | +3 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $725 | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $730 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $685 | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $695 | 100% | +10 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $690 | 100% | +3 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 179d | $720 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,653 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 179d | Private-Pantologist | $705 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,127 | +$11 +1.0% | 4 |
| 181d | $735 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,048 | +$44 +4.2% | 5 |
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on April 27?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $715 means the market gives it about 100%.