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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $790 | 0% | −10 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $775 | 100% | +35 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $780 | 0% | −36 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $770 | 100% | +17 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $785 | 0% | −14 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $795 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $750 | 100% | +11 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $760 | 100% | +11 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $755 | 100% | +8 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $800 | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $765 | 100% | +8 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70d | e25247f2da2a2462f03c936c379b7ab0 | $780 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,271 | +$46 +3.6% | 5 |
| 70d | suyizi | $790 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,269 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 70d | ppobb1123 | $790 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,786 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
bjprolo5 sharesS&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on August 14?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for $790 means the market gives it about 0%.