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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $720 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $760 | 0% | −9 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $755 | 100% | +85 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $750 | 100% | +62 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $745 | 100% | +37 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $770 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $725 | 100% | +7 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $740 | 100% | +46 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $765 | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $730 | 100% | +17 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $735 | 100% | +32 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81d | Filthy-Shallot2 fills | $760 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,186 | +$159 +2.6% | 5 |
| 81d |  Gurupolimarket | $720 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,468 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 81d | loveheng | $720 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,211 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 81d | 0x417932ca3da34bf3df20009512a85b2eee9429c3 | $720 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,858 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 81d | ppobb1123 | $720 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,613 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
bjprolo10 sharesS&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on August 3?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $720 means the market gives it about 100%.