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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $770 | 0% | −54 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $740 | 100% | +7 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $765 | 100% | +24 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $785 | 0% | −9 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $780 | 0% | −13 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $775 | 0% | −37 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $755 | 100% | +7 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $750 | 100% | +7 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $745 | 100% | +7 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $735 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $760 | 100% | +11 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 79d | Filthy-Shallot | $770 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 79d |  CoinTrick3 fills | $770 | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,393 | +$15 +0.1% | 4 |
| 79d | loveheng | $745 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,049 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 79d | ppobb1123 | $785 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,756 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 79d | ppobb1123 | $740 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,889 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 79d | suyizi | $740 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,918 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 79d |  abellll | $740 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,432 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 79d | abellll | $735 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,036 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on August 5?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for $770 means the market gives it about 0%.