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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $750 | 100% | +5 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $770 | 0% | −39 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $765 | 100% | +27 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $785 | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $775 | 0% | −33 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $760 | 100% | +10 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $790 | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $800 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $780 | 0% | −13 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $795 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $755 | 100% | +5 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78d | 0x417932ca3da34bf3df20009512a85b2eee9429c3 | $750 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,830 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 78d | ppobb1123 | $750 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
bjprolo10 sharesS&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on August 6?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $750 means the market gives it about 100%.