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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $745 | 100% | +33 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $715 | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $730 | 100% | +9 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $740 | 100% | +21 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $750 | 0% | −29 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $760 | 0% | −11 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $755 | 0% | −12 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $735 | 100% | +17 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $765 | 0% | −11 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $725 | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $720 | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 114d |  CoinTrick | $745 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 114d | suyizi | $745 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,827 | +$18 +1.0% | 4 |
| 114d | Sinjid | $745 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,455 | +$45 +3.1% | 5 |
| 114d | loveheng | $760 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,504 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 114d | kodeoed | $730 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
| 114d | kodeoed | $755 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,354 | +$14 +1.1% | 4 |
| 115d |  VdeVolsa | $730 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,967 | +$33 +1.1% | 4 |
KOMZY624 sharesS&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on July 1?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $745 means the market gives it about 100%.