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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $750 | 100% | +43 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $755 | 0% | −18 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $745 | 100% | +22 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $760 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $740 | 100% | +13 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $725 | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $735 | 100% | +10 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $765 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $720 | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $770 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $730 | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 105d | bot258 | $760 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,114 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 105d | bot258 | $765 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,129 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 105d | kodeoed | $740 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,643 | +$32 +1.9% | 5 |
| 106d |  VdeVolsa | $750 | BuyNo39¢ → 0¢ | $1,289 | −$1,289 −100% | 13 |
| 106d | cryptothan | $750 | BuyYes63¢ → 100¢ | $2,499 | +$1,490 +60% | 12 |
TrashGirl246 sharesS&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on July 10?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $750 means the market gives it about 100%.