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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $775 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $755 | 0% | −15 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $750 | 100% | +62 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $765 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $735 | 100% | +8 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $745 | 100% | +44 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $740 | 100% | +22 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $760 | 0% | −9 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $770 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $725 | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $730 | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 101d | 0x417932ca3da34bf3df20009512a85b2eee9429c3 | $765 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,072 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 101d |  VdeVolsa | $760 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,164 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 101d | ppobb1123 | $735 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,162 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 101d | 0x417932ca3da34bf3df20009512a85b2eee9429c3 | $765 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,240 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 102d |  olegs | $775 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,154 | +$11 +0.1% | 4 |
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on July 14?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for $775 means the market gives it about 0%.